The Philadelphia Phillies sent the rest of Major League Baseball a message when they signed free agent pitcher Jake Arrieta to a three-year, $75 million deal. The Phillies, who are viewed as a team that’s rebuilding by many, have made it clear that they expect to contend for the World Series in the near future. The move didn’t go unnoticed by oddsmakers as BetDSI Sportsbook has updated the Phillies odds to win it all. They moved to +8000 following the addition of Arrieta, down from +12000 before the move was announced on Sunday. Meanwhile, their regular season win total climbed from 76 to 78.5, indicating the Arrieta is worth 2.5 wins to the team.
The main question people are wondering is which Arrieta are the Phillies getting? He won the National League Cy Young award with the Chicago Cubs in 2015. However, his numbers haven’t been the same since. He posted a 2.08 ERA over 385.2 innings with a .519 OPP OPS between 2014 and 2015 but has recorded a 3.30 ERA and a .646 OPP OPS in just 365.2 innings over the last two seasons since. His WAR has declined from 8.7 to 3.4 to 1.9 over the last three seasons.
Arrieta wasn’t the only big addition to the Phillies roster this offseason as they also gave Carlos Santana $60 million for three seasons. Those signings combined with a full season from Rhys Hoskins, J.P. Crawford and an intriguing young pitching staff could be enough to make at least one of Philadelphia’s futures bets worth taking a look at. As optimistic as the front office might be, this club still has a lot of work to do to turn around its fortunes after they posted a 66-96 record a year ago.
At +8000 odds to win the World Series outright, the Phillies likely aren’t worth taking a chance on with this type of bet right now. After all, even after the changes this team made it’s important to remember they after coming off a season in which they registered only 66 wins. After years of rebuilding, a playoff berth would mark success for this team. However, their regular season win total might be something to look at. They should be good enough to push for a .500 record – if everything goes right.
Odds To Win 2018 World Series
Arizona Diamondbacks +2000
Atlanta Braves +12000
Baltimore Orioles +8000
Boston Red Sox +1000
Chicago Cubs +900
Chicago White Sox +12500
Cincinnati Reds +25000
Cleveland Indians +750
Colorado Rockies +3000
Detroit Tigers +30000
Houston Astros +525
Kansas City Royals +12500
Los Angeles Angels +1800
Los Angeles Dodgers +600
Miami Marlins +75000
Milwaukee Brewers +2000
Minnesota Twins +3500
New York Mets +3000
New York Yankees +500
Oakland Athletics +15000
Philadelphia Phillies +10000
Pittsburgh Pirates +12500
San Diego Padres +20000
San Francisco Giants +1500
Seattle Mariners +4000
St Louis Cardinals +2000
Tampa Bay Rays +7500
Texas Rangers +6500
Toronto Blue Jays +2000
Washington Nationals +800
