The Atlanta Braves will head west to play the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will broadcast this NL matchup and the game gets going at 9:40 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Atlanta (+165) is entering this game as the underdog to Arizona (-175) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). The game’s runline odds sit at -135 for picking the Braves +1.5 runs and +115 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.
The Diamondbacks are 75-64 straight up (SU) and 71-68 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, losing 0.6 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 8.0 units (ATS). Arizona has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in all seven of them. The Braves, on the other hand, are 76-63 SU and have gone 70-67 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 15.9 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 0.8 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 60-73-6 in 2018. Braves games have gone under 68 times, gone over 63 times and pushed on six instances.
The right-handed Anibal Sanchez will get the start for the visiting Braves. Sanchez is 6-5 with a 2.98 ERA and 106 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Arizona this year.
The Diamondbacks are sending righty Zack Greinke (13-9, 2.97 ERA) to the mound. Greinke has 176 punchouts and 35 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.05. Greinke is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.
Arizona’s pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.71, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.14, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 8.2.
Arizona’s offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 2.5 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .188/.260/.318 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Diamondbacks’ batters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and outfielder David Peralta. Goldschmidt is hitting .295/.396/.545 with 31 home runs, 80 RBIs and 84 runs scored, and Peralta’s line is .293/.351/.521 with 26 homers, 74 RBIs and 66 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.51 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.59 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.06, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K-per-9 of 9.05.
The Braves offense has slashed .259/.327/.423 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Atlanta’s offensive production has been sparked by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is hitting .304/.369/.461 with 14 home runs, 85 RBIs and 73 runs scored. Freeman is hitting .307/.388/.507 with 21 homers, 83 RBIs and 85 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 19.4 units and are 54-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 43 of those games, as opposed to 50 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 1.6 units and are 47-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 39 of those games, compared to 47 which went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Atlanta has recorded 14 extra-base hits over its last five games. Arizona has 11 XBH over its last five.
Arizona has recorded 15.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.4 over its last five.
The Braves have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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