The Cincinnati Reds will play host to the Atlanta Braves at Great American Ball Park. This NL showdown will begin at 6:40 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Ohio.
Atlanta Braves at Cincinnati Reds Odds
Atlanta (-110) is hosting this game as the favorite over Cincinnati (+100) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Runline odds sit at +135 for taking the Braves -1.5 runs and -155 for the Reds +1.5.
The Reds are just 5-18 SU and 9-13 ATS. The team has lost 13.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.4 units against the spread (ATS). The Braves are 12-10 SU and have gone 14-7 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 6.2 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 7.5 units ATS.
Reds games have an over/under record of 9-13 so far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 9-9-3.
Matt Wisler will get the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Wisler is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA and eight strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Reds will turn to lefty Brandon Finnegan (0-2, 11.05 ERA), who has six punchouts and eight walks as well as a 2.59 WHIP. Finnegan did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has allowed 5.6 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.44, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 5.38 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense is putting up 3.5 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .253/.342/.347 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Reds’ offense has been led by Jesse Winker, who is slashing .298/.431/.351 with 17 hits, seven RBIs and six runs scored. Winker performed well against right-handed pitchers in 2017. Across 110 plate appearances, he slashed .344/.427/.615 (compared to his total season line of .298/.375/.529).
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.17 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.50 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.38, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K-per-9 of 9.17.
The Braves offense has slashed .262/.341/.425 on its way to 5.5 runs scored per game this season, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Atlanta’s offense has been spearheaded by Freddie Freeman, who is slashing .296/.431/.543 with four home runs, 17 RBIs and 16 runs scored. He seemed to take a step back when hitting left-handed pitching last year, maintaining a slash line of .278/.357/.524 across 143 plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .307/.403/.586).
The Reds just took the previous game in this series by a score of nine runs to seven.
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in four of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
The Braves have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
Atlanta has recorded 24.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.8 over its last five.
The Braves have lost three of their last four games SU.
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