The Atlanta Braves will be taking on the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Fox Sports Ohio is in line to televise this NL matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Atlanta (-125) is the favorite over Cincinnati (+115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at +120 for the Braves -1.5 runs and -140 for the Reds +1.5.
The Reds are just 4-18 SU and 8-13 ATS. The team’s lost 14.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.4 units against the spread (ATS). Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, have gone 12-9 SU this year and are 14-6 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 7.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 8.5 units ATS. Atlanta’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Reds games have had an over/under record of 8-13 so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 8-9-3.
Right-hander Brandon McCarthy is getting the start for the visiting Braves. McCarthy is 3-0 with a 2.91 ERA and 18 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Reds are handing the ball to righty Tyler Mahle (1-3, 5.14 ERA), who has 20 strikeouts and seven walks to his credit, as well as a 1.57 WHIP. Mahle did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 5.49, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a 5.33 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.3 K/9.
The Cincinnati offense is putting up 3.2 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .214/.313/.258 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Reds’ offense has been led by left fielder Jesse Winker and catcher Tucker Barnhart. Winker is slashing .296/.441/.333 with 16 hits, six RBIs and six runs scored, and Barnhart’s line is .250/.348/.417 with 15 hits, four RBIs and five runs.
Winker seemed to enjoy hitting righties last season, slashing .344/.427/.615 in 110 plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .298/.375/.529).
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.07 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.84 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.26, along with a K-per-9 of 9.19.
Braves hitters have slashed .263/.343/.422 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Atlanta’s offense has been powered by first baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies. Freeman is slashing .293/.438/.480 with 22 hits, 15 RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Albies (.289/.333/.611) has produced 26 hits, six homers, 12 RBIs and 21 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 7.0 units and are 13-5 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 13.7 units and are 6-12 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – UNDER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Atlanta defense has allowed 10 errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for Cincinnati over its last 10.
The Braves have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit five over their last 10.
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