The Atlanta Braves will be taking on their division rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The matchup will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox SportsNet Florida.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Miami (+170) as the underdog to Atlanta (-180). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over eight runs and -110 for under eight. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -125 for the Braves -1.5 runs and +105 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Braves are 72-55 SU and have gone 65-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 20.4 units for moneyline bettors and 1.0 unit ATS. Atlanta’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 51-78 SU and 66-62 ATS. They’ve lost 1.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Miami games have a 65-59-4 over/under record in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 59-61-5.
Mike Foltynewicz is getting the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Foltynewicz is 10-7 with a 2.72 ERA and 161 strikeouts. He’s 2-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 0.69 ERA against Miami this year (two starts).
The Marlins are sending righty Dan Straily (4-6, 4.60 ERA) to the hill. Straily has 87 strikeouts and 50 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.41. Straily is 2-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 4.02 ERA over three starts against Atlanta this year.
Miami’s pitching staff has yielded 5.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.57 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.11 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 55 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.66 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.49.
The Miami hitters have produced 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .280/.359/.461 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Marlins’ batters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .285/.338/.403 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 70 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .277/.358/.396 with nine homers, 54 RBIs and 68 runs scored.
For the visiting squad, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.51 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.62 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.12, along with a WHIP of 1.23.
The Braves offense has slashed .261/.327/.426 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Atlanta’s offensive production has been powered by outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman, who collectively have belted 34 home runs. Markakis is hitting .314/.376/.483 with 14 home runs, 81 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Freeman (.317/.401/.524) has produced 20 homers, 78 RBIs and 80 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 20.9 units and are 49-39 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 40 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 1.5 units and are 47-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 45 that’ve gone under.
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in five of Miami’s last seven games.
Miami has recorded 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.4 over its last five.
The Braves have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 11 over their last 10.
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