The Atlanta Braves are traveling north to take on their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and FOX Sports South will televise the action.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Vegas is listing Philadelphia (+110) as the underdog to Atlanta (-120). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8.5 runs and +100 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +125 for the Braves -1.5 runs and -145 for the Phillies +1.5.
The Braves have gone 89-70 SU this year and are 81-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 22.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.6 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 78-81 SU and 71-87 ATS. They’ve lost 8.7 units for moneyline bettors and 28.3 units ATS.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 73-79-6 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 76-75-6.
Mike Foltynewicz is getting the start for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Foltynewicz (12-10, 2.88 ERA) has racked up 193 punchouts in 178 innings so far. He’s 2-1 with 31 strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA against Philadelphia this year (five starts).
The Phillies will put the ball in the right hand of Jerad Eickhoff (0-0, 9.00 ERA), who’s got three strikeouts and zero walks this season as well as a 2.50 WHIP. Eickhoff hasn’t faced the Braves yet this year, but he made five starts against them in 2017, posting a 1-2 record with a 4.94 ERA and 21 strikeouts.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have yielded 4.5 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 4.15 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.18 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 73 games against NL East foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.10 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.47.
The Philadelphia hitters have put up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 1.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .204/.287/.333 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera. Hernandez is hitting .253/.355/.359 with 14 home runs, 57 RBIs, 89 runs and 19 stolen bases, while Herrera’s line is .256/.313/.423 with 22 homers, 69 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
For the visitors, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.53 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.61 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.16, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 8.92.
The Braves offense has slashed .257/.326/.419 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have led Atlanta’s offense. Freeman is slashing .308/.386/.502 with 23 home runs, 95 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Markakis (.299/.366/.444) has produced 14 homers, 93 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 25.1 units and are 63-50 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 53 of those games, compared to 55 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 12.4 units and are 54-67 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 55 of those games, compared to 62 that went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in just two of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
Atlanta fielders have committed zero errors over their last five games, compared to four errors for Philadelphia over its last five.
The Braves have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit eight over their last 10.
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