The Atlanta Braves are heading west to face the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The game gets underway 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will televise this NL matchup.
Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres Odds
Vegas is listing San Diego (+105) as the underdog to Atlanta (-115). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can take the over for +105 and the under for -125. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Braves -1.5 runs (+130) and Padres +1.5 runs (-150).
The Padres are 27-34 SU and 30-30 ATS. They’ve lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors and 6.7 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Braves are 35-24 SU and have gone 32-25 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 14.7 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Padres games have had an over/under record of 29-29-2 so far in 2018. Braves games have gone under 29 times, gone over 25 times and pushed on three occasions.
The right-handed Julio Teheran is the probable starter for the visiting Braves. Teheran is 4-3 with a 4.03 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 3.00 ERA and five strikeouts over six innings).
The Padres will send lefty Clayton Richard (3-6, 4.74 ERA) to the mound. Richard has 61 strikeouts and 25 walks to his name, as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Richard only made one start against the Braves in 2017 (0-1, 6.00 ERA and two strikeouts across six innings).
As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.89, a WHIP of 1.50 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 3.21 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.
The San Diego offense has put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .270/.350/.393 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and left fielder Jose Pirela. Hosmer is hitting .289/.375/.459 with six home runs, 25 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Pirela’s line is .272/.325/.353 with 63 hits, 18 RBIs and 34 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.38 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.64, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 9.27.
The Braves offense has slashed .260/.333/.423 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have paced Atlanta’s offense. Markakis is hitting .328/.392/.489 with seven home runs, 39 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Freeman (.335/.432/.536) has produced nine homers, 40 RBIs, 35 runs and five stolen bases.
The Braves have gained 4.8 units and are 8-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 1.9 units and are 22-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 22 which went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Braves have won three of their last four games SU while the Padres have won five of their last six SU.
San Diego has posted 21.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.0 over its last five.
The Braves have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 10 over their last 10.
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