The Cincinnati Reds will play host to the Atlanta Braves at Great American Ball Park. The game gets underway 12:35 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Southeast will broadcast this NL matchup.
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds
Atlanta (-125) is favored over Cincinnati (+115) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Runline odds sit at +120 for betting the Braves -1.5 runs and -140 for the Reds +1.5.
The Braves have gone 13-10 SU this year and are 14-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the year and 6.5 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Reds, on the other hand, are 5-19 SU and 10-13 ATS. They’ve lost 12.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.4 units ATS. Cincinnati has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Cincinnati games have a 10-13 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 10-9-3.
Sean Newcomb is getting the start for Atlanta. The southpaw Newcomb is 1-1 with a 3.74 ERA and 27 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and two strikeouts across five innings).
The Reds are planning to start righty Homer Bailey (0-3, 3.68 ERA), who’s got 20 strikeouts and 10 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.16. Bailey did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.
Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 5.5 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.37, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 5.34 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.
Cincinnati’s hitters have put up 3.5 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .263/.355/.383 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Left fielder Jesse Winker and catcher Tucker Barnhart have led the Reds’ hitters this year. Winker is slashing .311/.442/.361 with 19 hits, seven RBIs and seven runs scored, while Barnhart is batting .250 with 17 hits, six RBIs and six runs scored.
Winker didn’t seem to enjoy hitting at home last year. Across 67 plate appearances, he slashed .259/.358/.414 (compared to his total season line of .298/.375/.529).
For the visiting squad, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.33 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.12 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.18, along with a WHIP of 1.34.
Braves hitters have slashed .265/.342/.426 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Atlanta’s offensive production been powered by first baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies, who’ve collectively swatted 11 home runs. Freeman is slashing .306/.439/.541 with four home runs, 17 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Albies is slashing .283/.330/.606 with seven homers, 13 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 4.7 units and are 13-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Reds have lost 0.8 units and are 2-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in two of those games, as opposed to one which went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Braves have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
Cincinnati has posted 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.0 over its last five.
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