Shelby Miller (0-0, 0.00 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (5-1) meet Mat Latos (0-1, 94.50 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (1-5) in the first of a three-game division series at Turner Field. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Apr. 13 and will air on FSN-FL and FSN-S.
In his last start, Miller pitched 5.0 innings, giving up zero runs, striking out four and walking two in a 2-0 loss to the Marlins. Alberto Callaspo (.538 ) kept up his strong start yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run. In his career against the Braves, Latos is 3-4 with a 4.56 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and 40 strikeouts. Dee Gordon (.346 ) has been hitting the ball well to start the season for the Marlins, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Atlanta is a -125 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Braves come into the game with the second-ranked scoring offense in the NL, averaging 5.2 runs per game. The Braves are a nightmare for opponents on the bases with five steals, one of the highest totals in baseball. Atlanta’s pitching staff can be considered for best in its league, with an NL-low 1.40 team ERA.
The Marlins average just 0.0 strikeouts per road game, good for least in the NL. Shifting to the pitching staff, they allow just 0.0 walks per road game, good for tops in the NL.
The previous three games have all gone Atlanta’s way.
Predictions: SU Winner – ATL, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Atlanta is 3-1, while Miami is 1-3.
After a weak showing last week where they got in seven hits, the Braves need to step it up. The Marlins have a record of 0-3 when opponents get seven hits or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 0-3. The Braves have a 1-1 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 29th in home runs, Miami has hit one this season. Atlanta ranks 16th with four home runs.
Ranking ninth, Miami is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 6.80 per game. Atlanta ranks in the top five at fourth with 8.80.
Ranking 26th, Miami is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.570). Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at ninth with an OPS of .705.
The Marlins are 1-3 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Braves are 1-1 when they allow at least one homer.
