In the last of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (54-78) and the Miami Marlins (54-79) at Turner Field, Edwin Jackson (2-2, 3.57 ERA) and Adam Conley (2-1, 4.96 ERA) get the ball. The Braves lost the last game 7-1, extending a seven-game losing streak. The game gets underway at 12:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Sep. 2 and will air on FSFL and SPSO.
In his most recent outing, Jackson pitched 1.0 innings, allowing zero runs in a 20-6 loss to the Yankees. Freddie Freeman (.282, 50 Rs, 15 HRs, 50 RBIs, 3 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. The Marlins were victorious the last time Conley pitched. He went 5.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out six and walking one in a 4-3 victory over the Nationals. Justin Bour (.257, 29 Rs, 15 HRs, 49 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Oddsmakers have deemed this game an even matchup and the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. The Braves have an SU record of 25-26 against teams in their division. The Braves lead the majors in extra base hits with 311. They typically aren’t overmatched by pitchers, leading the NL with an average of only 6.9 strikeouts per game. Atlanta’s pitching staff will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent struggles. The Braves have given up an average of 7.9 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.7 runs per game.
Against divisional rivals, the Marlins are 19-33 SU. During the last 10 games, they averaged 2.5 runs per game, below their 3.7 season average. The Marlins are known for their bats, hitting 317 extra base hits. The Marlins have racked up 97 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league.
The Braves have mostly come out on top against the Marlins in their previous 15 games this season, earning a 10-5 record. This game will feature Conley (LHP) on the mound against the Braves, who have a 9-15 record when they take on a left-handed starter.
Predictions: SU Winner – Mia
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Miami is 25-42, while Atlanta is 23-41.
The Marlins are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded three strikeouts. The Braves have a record of 4-6 when opponents’ pitchers have that many strikeouts or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 10-54. The Marlins have an 11-52 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 83 this season. Miami ranks 29th with 98 home runs.
Atlanta and Miami both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Atlanta sits at ninth with 8.50 hits per game and Miami ranks eighth with 8.54.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.678). Miami ranks near the bottom at 29th with an OPS of .683.
When the Marlins allow at least one home run, they are 24-50, well-matched with the Braves who are 21-56 when allowing at least one homer.
