The Atlanta Braves will be facing off against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. This NL matchup will be nationally broadcasted on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-135) is favored over Atlanta (+125) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Braves +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5.
Each team has exceeded betting expectations this year. The Brewers are 53-35 straight up (SU) and 48-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 15.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.1 units (ATS). Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Braves have gone 49-38 SU this year and are 45-40 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 16.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 2.9 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have a 36-48-3 over/under record thus far in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 42-39-4.
Anibal Sanchez will get the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Sanchez is 3-2 with a 2.89 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Aaron Wilkerson (0-0, 15.00 ERA), who has three strikeouts and zero walks this season as well as a 1.67 WHIP. Wilkerson did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have yielded 3.7 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.07, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 10.4.
Milwaukee’s hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .244/.314/.442 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the way for the Brewers’ offense this year. Yelich is hitting .286/.362/.465 with 11 home runs, 35 RBIs, 54 runs and 10 steals, and Cain’s line is .291/.394/.438 with eight homers, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 steals.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.57 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.78 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.20, along with a K-per-9 of 9.11.
The Braves offense has slashed .259/.329/.424 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Atlanta’s offense has been sparked by right fielder Nick Markakis and second baseman Ozzie Albies, who’ve collectively belted 28 home runs. Markakis is slashing .324/.389/.490 with 10 home runs, 58 RBIs and 53 runs scored. Albies is slashing .280/.320/.517 with 18 homers, 50 RBIs, 67 runs and eight steals.
The Braves have gained 13.3 units and are 33-26 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 27 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 17.6 units and are 41-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 26 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Atlanta has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five games. Milwaukee has 14 XBH over its last five.
Milwaukee has recorded 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.
The Braves have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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