The Atlanta Braves will play the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. This NL showdown will begin at 2:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise the game.
Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Milwaukee (-125) as the favorite over Atlanta (+115). The total sits at 9 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -180 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +160 for the Brewers -1.5.
Both teams have made bettors happy this year. The Brewers are 53-36 straight up (SU) and 48-40 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 16.8 units for moneyline bettors and 8.1 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Braves are 50-38 SU and have gone 46-40 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 15.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 3.9 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.
Brewers games have a 37-48-3 over/under record so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 43-39-4.
Sean Newcomb will get the start for Atlanta. The southpaw Newcomb is 8-3 with a 3.10 ERA and 92 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers will turn to righty Junior Guerra (5-5, 2.87 ERA), who has 88 strikeouts and 34 walks as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Guerra did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.54 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.81 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.17, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K/9 of 9.13.
Braves hitters have slashed .259/.329/.423 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Nick Markakis and second baseman Ozzie Albies, who have combined to belt 28 home runs. Markakis is slashing .324/.392/.494 with 10 home runs, 59 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Albies (.282/.321/.516) has produced 18 homers, 50 RBIs, 69 runs and eight steals.
For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.85, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.11, a WHIP of 1.22 and a K/9 of 10.4.
The Milwaukee offense has produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .190/.256/.374 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ batters this year. Yelich is hitting .282/.358/.458 with 11 home runs, 35 RBIs, 54 runs and 10 steals, while Cain’s line is .291/.394/.438 with eight homers, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 steals.
The Braves have gained 12.3 units and are 34-26 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 1.8 units and are 7-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in 10 of those games, compared to eight that went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Atlanta has logged 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Milwaukee has 12 XBH over its last five.
Milwaukee has posted 18.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.8 over its last five.
The Braves have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 14 over their last 10.
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