Alex Wood (2-2, 3.83 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (20-20) meet Wily Peralta (1-5, 4.32 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (15-27) in the second of a four-game series at Turner Field. The Braves won the last game 10-1 and Atlanta leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:35 p.m. ET on Friday, May. 22 and will air on FSN-WI and SPSO.
Wood is 2-0 with a 0.87 ERA against the Brewers in his career, and is up against a struggling Milwaukee offense that’s hitting just .226 on the year. Freddie Freeman (.306, 26 Rs, 5 HRs, 21 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run and two RBIs. In his career against the Braves, Peralta is 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA. He meets a strong Atlanta offense that’s batting .256.
Atlanta is a -126 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. The Braves are 5-5 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +154. They have a winless record (0-1) in games played as the favorite during their last 10 games. They typically aren’t overmatched by pitchers, leading the NL with an average of only 6.3 strikeouts per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Braves don’t give up many hits to opposing batters, ranking fourth in the NL with only 8.4 hits allowed per game.
Switching gears, the Brewers come into this game with a win percentage of .407 when playing as the underdog (11-16) and an overall money line of -989.
The only other game between the two teams went Atlanta’s way. This game will feature Peralta (RHP) on the mound against the Braves, who have a 17-18 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the left-hander Wood. Southpaw starters have been a big issue for them as they sport records of 1-3 on the road and 3-6 overall.
Predictions: SU Winner – ATL, O/U – Over
Notes
When the Brewers play into extra innings, they have a 1-1 record. The Braves are 0-1 when their games exceed nine innings.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Brewers are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Braves have an 8-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Braves are 3-14. The Brewers have a 5-22 record when opponents outhit them.
Atlanta ranks near the bottom of the league at 27th when it comes to home runs, hitting 26 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 42.
Ranking 15th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.59 per game. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.44.
Ranking 27th, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.662). Atlanta ranks in the bottom half at 18th with an OPS of .701.
The Brewers are 9-20 when they allow at least one home run. The Braves perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 6-14 record.
