The Atlanta Braves will head north to Citi Field to face off against their divisional rival New York Mets. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will televise the matchup.
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Odds
Vegas is listing New York (+135) as the underdog to Atlanta (-145). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over 8.5 runs and -105 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at +100 for the Braves -1.5 runs and -120 for the Mets +1.5 runs.
The Mets are 43-60 straight up (SU) and 47-57 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 19.4 units for moneyline bettors and 16.4 units (ATS). The Braves, on the other hand, have gone 54-47 SU this year and are 54-49 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 14.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.6 units ATS.
New York games have a 45-54-5 over/under record in 2018. Braves games have gone over 51 times, gone under 48 times and pushed on four occasions.
Left-hander Max Fried is projected to start for the visiting Braves. Fried is 1-4 with a 3.51 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against New York this year.
The Mets are going with lefty Jason Vargas (2-6, 8.36 ERA), who has 35 strikeouts and 17 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.79. Vargas is 1-1 with five strikeouts and a 5.59 ERA across two starts against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.71 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.75 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.25, along with a WHIP of 1.27.
The Braves offense has slashed .258/.328/.419 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have paced Atlanta’s offense. Markakis is slashing .316/.383/.475 with 10 home runs, 62 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Freeman (.313/.397/.527) has produced 17 homers, 66 RBIs and 62 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.01 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.75 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 40 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.61 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.37.
The New York offense is putting up 4.0 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .242/.328/.424 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ offense this year. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .237/.280/.357 with four homers, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and nine stolen bases.
The Braves have gained 0.8 units and are 14-18 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
The Braves have dropped five of their last six games SU.
The Atlanta defense has allowed seven errors over its last five games, compared to three errors for New York over its last five.
The Braves have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
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