The Atlanta Braves will face off against their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will televise the matchup. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Odds
Atlanta (+125) is hosting this one as the underdog against New York (-135) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at seven runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -170 for picking the Braves +1.5 runs and +150 for the Mets -1.5.
The Mets are 43-61 straight up (SU) and 47-57 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 19.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 16.4 units (ATS). The Braves have gone 55-47 SU this year and are 54-49 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 14.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.6 units ATS.
New York games have an over/under record of 45-54-5 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 51-48-4.
Left-hander Sean Newcomb is the probable starter for Atlanta. Newcomb is 10-5 with a 3.23 ERA and 110 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 1.38 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Mets are sending righty Jacob deGrom (5-6, 1.82 ERA) to the mound. deGrom has 164 punchouts and 32 walks to his credit, as well as a 0.98 WHIP. deGrom is 0-1 with 31 strikeouts and a 0.72 ERA across four starts against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.70 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.21, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K/9 of 9.07.
Braves hitters have slashed .258/.327/.418 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have paced Atlanta’s hitters. Markakis is slashing .316/.384/.487 with 12 home runs, 67 RBIs and 61 runs scored. Freeman has a .315 average with 18 homers, 69 RBIs and 66 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitchers have yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.04, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 4.70 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 41 divisional games, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.25.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .244/.324/.429 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ offense this year. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .237/.280/.357 with four homers, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and nine stolen bases.
The Braves have gained 13.7 units and are 40-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 34 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in three of New York’s last seven games.
Atlanta has posted 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 13.4 over its last five.
The Braves have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 11 over their last 10.
+++++
