The Atlanta Braves will head north to face their divisional foe New York Mets at Citi Field. The matchup will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to SportsNet New York.
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Odds
Atlanta (+125) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-135) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at seven runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Runline odds sit at -170 for taking the Braves +1.5 runs and +150 for the Mets -1.5 runs.
The Braves are 54-47 SU and are 54-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 14.4 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 43-60 SU and 47-57 ATS. They’ve lost 19.4 units for moneyline bettors and 16.4 units ATS.
New York games have a 45-54-5 over/under record in 2018. Braves games have gone over 51 times, gone under 48 times and pushed on four occasions.
Sean Newcomb is getting the nod for Atlanta. The southpaw Newcomb (10-5, 3.23 ERA) has recorded 110 strikeouts in 119.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 1.38 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Mets are planning to start righty Jacob deGrom (5-6, 1.82 ERA), who’s got 164 strikeouts and 32 walks, as well as a WHIP of 0.98. deGrom is 0-1 with 31 strikeouts and a 0.72 ERA across four starts against Atlanta this year.
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.71 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.75 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.25, along with a WHIP of 1.27.
Braves hitters have slashed .258/.328/.419 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman continue to lead Atlanta’s offense. Markakis is hitting .316/.383/.475 with 10 home runs, 62 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Freeman (.313/.397/.527) has produced 17 homers, 66 RBIs and 62 runs scored.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.75 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 40 games against NL East foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.61 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.37.
The New York offense is putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .242/.328/.424 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .237/.280/.357 with four homers, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and nine stolen bases.
The Braves have gained 13.7 units and are 40-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 34 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve hit the under against lefties.
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
The Braves have dropped five of their last six games SU.
The Atlanta defense has allowed seven errors over its last five games, compared to three errors for New York over its last five.
The Braves have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
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