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Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets MLB Pick

Alex Wood (1-0, 3.60 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (5-0) go up against Bartolo Colon (1-0, 1.50 ERA) and the New York Mets (2-3) in the last of a three-game division series at Turner Field. The Braves won the last game 5-3, extending a five-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Apr. 12 and will air on SNY and FSN-S.

Wood is 0-2 with a 4.10 ERA, 27 strikeouts and nine walks against the Mets in his career. Nick Markakis (.250 ) continued his hot start yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. In his career against the Braves, Colon is 4-2 with a 2.00 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and 31 strikeouts.

Atlanta is a slight -112 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at seven runs. Atlanta’s pitching staff can be considered for best in its league, with an NL-low 1.50 team ERA. The Braves don’t give up many walks to opposing batters, ranking fourth in the NL with only 2.5 walks allowed per game.

Across the field, the Mets have a record of 2-1 when they are the underdog and are +40 overall with the money line. Against fellow NL East members, they are 2-2 SU and 2-1 as the underdog.

The previous two games have all gone Atlanta’s way.

Predictions: SU Winner – ATL, O/U – Over

Notes

When leading after 7 innings, Atlanta is 3-0, while New York is 2-1.

It looks like the Braves have a slight leg up on the Mets, as the Braves have won their last five games while the Mets have lost their last two.

When they outhit their opponents, the Braves and the Mets are both undefeated. Atlanta has a 3-0 record in these situations while New York is 2-0.

Ranking 16th in runs, New York has earned 16 this season. Atlanta ranks fifth with 26 runs.

Ranking 14th, New York is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 13 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 14.

The Braves are 3-0 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Mets are 0-1 when they hit at least one homer.

Written by GMS Previews

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