In the second of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (33-35) and the New York Mets (33-35) at Turner Field, Williams Perez (3-0, 2.29 ERA) and Noah Syndergaard (2-4, 3.76 ERA) take the mound. The Braves won the last game 2-1 and Atlanta leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 20 and will air on PIX11 and FSN-S.
In his most recent outing, Perez pitched 6.0 innings, giving up zero runs, striking out two and walking two in a 4-2 victory over the Red Sox. The Mets were unsuccessful to the Blue Jays 4-3 the last time Syndergaard pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out 11 and walking two. Daniel Murphy (.283, 16 Rs, 4 HRs, 29 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 2 yesterday.
Atlanta is a small +103 underdog in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is seven runs. When playing as the underdog, the Braves have a 22-29 record and overall money line at +250. They have a 14-16 record SU and are 9-12 as the underdog within their division.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Mets come into this game with a solid win percentage of .769 when playing as the favorite (30-9) and an overall money line of +225. Against divisional foes, they are 23-12 SU and have played well as the favorite with a 19-6 record. When it comes to scoring runs, the Mets have performed much better than normal against teams from the NL East. During those games, they averaged four runs per game, above their 3.8 season average. New York’s pitching staff has allowed an average of 5.3 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 3.9. They have a WHIP of 1.20 on the year, good for fifth in the league.
The Mets have mostly come out on top against the Braves in their previous 10 games this season, earning a 6-4 record. The Braves will take on a right-hander (Syndergaard) in this game and have a 28-30 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Mets will be the right-hander Perez. They sport a 30-26 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
The Mets lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Braves are 12-10. The Mets are 13-10 in close games this season.
The Mets are 3-1 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Braves are 2-3 in such matchups.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Mets are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Braves have a 13-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 24-11. The Mets have a 23-3 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th, New York sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 256 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top 10 at 10th with 287.
Ranking 19th, New York is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 184 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 11th with 205.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 19-11, well-matched with the Mets who are 23-11 when hitting one or more homers.
