In the last of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (54-75) and the New York Yankees (71-57) at Turner Field, Julio Teheran (9-6, 4.29 ERA) and Nathan Eovaldi (13-2, 4.00 ERA) get the ball. The Yankees won the last game 3-1 and New York leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 30 and will air on FSSO.
In his most recent outing, Teheran pitched 7.1 innings, allowing three runs, striking out five and walking one in a 5-3 victory over the Rockies. Kelly Johnson (.259, 29 Rs, 12 HRs, 40 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. The Yankees were unsuccessful to the Astros 1-0 the last time Eovaldi pitched. He went 8.0 innings, giving up zero runs, striking out seven and walking three.
The Over/Under (O/U) for this game is set at seven runs and Atlanta is a considerable +170 underdog. The Braves perform poorly as an underdog with a 40-62 record and have an overall money line of -1,055. They have struggled as the underdog over their last 10 games, going 0-7. The Braves rank second in the majors in extra base hits with 307. Below average play has been the norm lately for the Atlanta pitchers. The Braves have given up an average of 7.1 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.6 runs per game.
On the other side, the Yankees have a nice record of 45-30 when they are favored and are +142 overall with the money line. When playing NL opponents, they have a 7-5 as the favorite and 7-8 SU. They sport the second-ranked offense in the AL, averaging 4.8 runs per game. New York has an eye for the strike zone, ranking 3.3 in the AL with third walks per game. Playing competition from the NL really brings the worst out of the New York pitchers. They allow 5.1 runs per game against teams in the NL, which is higher than their season average of 4.3.
So far this season, the Yankees are 2-0 against the Braves. The Braves will take on a right-hander (Eovaldi) in this game and have a 45-60 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Yankees will be the right-hander Teheran. They sport a 48-43 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Under
Notes
Having scored one run in their last game, the Braves are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Yankees have a 17-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
It looks like the Yankees have a slight leg up on the Braves, as the Yankees have won their last two games while the Braves have lost their last four.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 37-18. The Yankees have a 48-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th in runs, Atlanta has earned 469 this season. New York ranks second with 607 runs.
Ranking 15th, Atlanta is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 366 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fifth with 425.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 32-29. When the Yankees hit at least one homer, they have a 60-34 record.
