The Atlanta Braves will be facing off against their divisional rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and FOX Sports South will be showing the matchup.
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Philadelphia (-155) is hosting this one as the favorite over Atlanta (+145) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -150 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +130 for the Phillies -1.5.
The Phillies are 78-82 straight up (SU) and 71-88 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 9.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 29.6 units (ATS). The Braves are 90-70 SU and have gone 81-77 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 21.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.6 units ATS.
Philadelphia games have a 73-80-6 over/under record in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 76-76-6.
Anibal Sanchez will get the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Sanchez is 7-6 with a 2.96 ERA and 128 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies will send righty Aaron Nola (16-6, 2.45 ERA) to the mound. Nola has 216 punchouts and 54 walks to his credit, as well as a 0.98 WHIP. Nola is 1-2 with 15 strikeouts and a 2.96 ERA over four starts against Atlanta this year.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.16 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.25 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 74 games against NL East opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.11 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.61.
Philadelphia’s hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 1.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .193/.282/.335 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that span.
Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and outfielder Odubel Herrera have led the Phillies’ hitters this year. Hernandez is slashing .253/.358/.358 with 14 home runs, 57 RBIs, 90 runs and 19 steals, while Herrera’s line is .257/.314/.425 with 22 homers, 70 RBIs and 64 runs.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.52 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.65 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.14, along with a WHIP of 1.21.
The Braves offense has slashed .258/.327/.420 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have paced Atlanta’s offense. Freeman is hitting .312/.389/.509 with 23 home runs, 98 RBIs and 94 runs scored, while Markakis is hitting .297/.363/.440 with 14 homers, 93 RBIs and 78 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 25.1 units and are 63-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 53 of those games, as opposed to 55 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 13.4 units and are 54-68 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 55 of those games, as opposed to 63 which went under the total.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in four of Atlanta’s last seven games.
Atlanta fielders have committed zero errors over their last five games, compared to five errors for Philadelphia over its last five.
The Braves have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit eight over their last 10.
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