The Atlanta Braves will be squaring off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. The game gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be shown on both ATPT and FSSE.
Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Atlanta (+110) is entering this game as the underdog to Pittsburgh (-120) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). Runline odds sit at -190 for taking the Braves +1.5 runs and +165 for the Pirates -1.5 runs.
The Pirates are 63-63 straight up (SU) and 60-65 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot for gamblers, gaining 0.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 8.8 units (ATS). The Braves have gone 69-55 SU this year and are 63-59 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 17.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 0.2 units ATS.
Neither team has been a strong over/under bet this season. Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 58-59-8 in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 59-58-5.
Right-hander Kevin Gausman is projected to start for the visiting Braves. Gausman (7-9, 4.22 ERA) has racked up 116 punchouts in 143 innings so far. This will be his first outing against Pittsburgh this year. He made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record with an 8.44 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
The Pirates will put the ball in the right hand of Ivan Nova (7-7, 4.26 ERA, 1.30 WHIP), who has 91 strikeouts and 27 walks this season. Nova made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a spotless 2-0 record in 2017, putting together a perfect 2-0 record with a 2.51 ERA and five strikeouts.
Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 4.10 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The Pittsburgh offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 2.8 per game over its last 10 games and 1.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .231/.318/.301 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ offense has been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is hitting .308/.339/.483 with 11 home runs, 46 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Marte’s line is .275/.319/.462 with 17 homers, 57 RBIs, 63 runs and 28 steals.
In the other dugout, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.60 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.65 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.16, along with a WHIP of 1.25 and a K-per-9 of 9.17.
The Braves offense has slashed .262/.327/.426 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis continue to lead Atlanta’s offense. Freeman is slashing .322/.404/.532 with 20 home runs, 77 RBIs and 79 runs scored. Markakis (.318/.379/.489) has produced 14 homers, 81 RBIs and 69 runs scored.
The Braves have gained 17.9 units and are 47-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 40 of those games, as opposed to 41 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 7.2 units and are 44-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 36 of those games, as opposed to 44 which went under the total.
Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in five of Atlanta’s last seven games.
The Atlanta defense has allowed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Pittsburgh over its last 10.
The Braves have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit five over their last 10.
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