The Atlanta Braves will be taking on the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. This NL showdown gets going at 7:05 p.m. ET and you can catch it on both ATPT and FSSE.
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Vegas has listed Pittsburgh (-115) as the favorite over Atlanta (+105). Bettors are able to wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -115 for over 8 runs and -105 for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at -200 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +170 for the Pirates -1.5.
The Pirates are 63-64 straight up (SU) and 60-66 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.8 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Braves are 70-55 SU and have gone 64-59 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 18.4 units for moneyline bettors and 0.8 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Neither team has been a strong over/under play this season. Pittsburgh games have had an over/under record of 58-60-8 in 2018. Atlanta has an over/under record of 59-59-5.
The right-handed Julio Teheran is projected to start for the visiting Braves. Teheran is 8-7 with a 4.24 ERA and 124 strikeouts. He has yet to face Pittsburgh this year, but he made two starts against the Pirates in 2017, posting a 0-0 record against them with a 0.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
The Pirates are putting the ball in the hands of righty Trevor Williams (10-9, 3.53 ERA), who has 86 strikeouts and 43 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Williams only made one start against the Braves in 2017 (0-0, 3.86 ERA and nine strikeouts across seven innings).
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.56 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.61 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.17, along with a K/9 of 9.19.
The Braves offense has slashed .261/.327/.426 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis continue to lead Atlanta’s hitters. Freeman is slashing .321/.404/.530 with 20 home runs, 77 RBIs and 79 runs scored, while Markakis (.315/.376/.485) has produced 14 homers, 81 RBIs and 69 runs scored.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have yielded 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.09 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
The Pittsburgh hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 1.9 per game over its last 10 games and 1.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .224/.316/.321 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte have led the Pirates’ hitters this year. Dickerson is slashing .307/.338/.480 with 11 home runs, 46 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Marte’s line is .274/.318/.461 with 17 homers, 57 RBIs, 63 runs and 28 steals.
The Braves have gained 18.9 units and are 48-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 40 of those games, as opposed to 42 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 6.0 units and are 44-44 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 36 of those games, compared to 45 that went under the total.
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in five of Atlanta’s last seven games.
Atlanta has recorded 24.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.
The Braves have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit four over their last 10.
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