Williams Perez (1-0, 3.55 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (28-30) meet Tyson Ross (3-5, 3.75 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (30-30) in the third of a four-game series at Turner Field. The Braves won the last game 6-5 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 10 and will air on FSN-SD and SPSO.
In his most recent outing, Perez pitched 5.0 innings, allowing four runs, striking out five and walking five in a 10-8 loss to the Pirates. Freddie Freeman (.303, 38 Rs, 10 HRs, 35 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. In his career against the Braves, Ross is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and seven strikeouts. Justin Upton (.294, 39 Rs, 12 HRs, 38 RBIs, 12 SBs) has been hitting the ball well for the Padres, going 2 for 5 yesterday.
Atlanta, a +110 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against San Diego. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. When playing as the underdog, the Braves have an 18-24 record and overall money line at +124. Atlanta has averaged 5.5 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.2.
On the other side, the Padres have a nice record of 18-9 when they are favored and are +79 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 6-2 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 7-3. The Padres rank fourth in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Padres average 3.0 walks per road game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the NL when they travel.
The Braves will take on a right-hander (Ross) in this game and have a 23-26 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Padres will be the right-hander Perez. They sport a 22-24 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – SD, O/U – Over
Notes
For the sixth time this season, the Braves registered at least two errors in a game.
The Padres are 3-2 in games that go into extra innings. Meanwhile, the Braves are 1-2 in such matchups.
The Padres are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Braves have a 12-16 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 21-9. The Padres have a 21-4 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 12th in runs, Atlanta has earned 246 this season. San Diego ranks fourth with 264 runs.
Ranking 21st, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 154 this season. Atlanta ranks in the top half at 15th with 171.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 18-9, well-matched with the Padres who are 20-9 when hitting one or more homers.
