In the last of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves (48-59) and the San Francisco Giants (58-48) at Turner Field, Williams Perez (4-1, 4.14 ERA) and Madison Bumgarner (11-6, 3.39 ERA) take the mound. The Giants won the last game 8-3 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 5 and will air on CSBy and SPSO.
In his last start, Perez pitched 4.1 innings, giving up nine runs, striking out three and walking four in a 9-3 loss to the Phillies. A.J. Pierzynski (.302, 28 Rs, 7 HRs, 34 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. The Giants were also unsuccessful the last time Bumgarner pitched. He struggled, going 7.0 innings, allowing six runs and striking out eight in a 6-3 loss to the Rangers. Buster Posey (.328, 56 Rs, 16 HRs, 75 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one run and two RBIs.
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Atlanta, a +161 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against San Francisco. The matchup currently has a seven-run Over/Under (O/U). When playing as the underdog, the Braves have a 36-50 record and overall money line at -119. The Braves are a dangerous hitting team with 251 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. They typically aren’t overmatched by pitchers, leading the NL with an average of only 6.8 strikeouts per game. Atlanta’s pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 5.6 during that span, compared to its 4.4 season average.
On the other side, the Giants have a record of 31-28 when they are favored and are +407 overall with the money line. The Giants rank second in the NL in scoring, averaging 4.4 runs per game. San Francisco is one of the top hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.4 hits per contest. The Giants average just 7.0 strikeouts per game, one of the lowest marks in the NL.
The Braves will take on a left-hander (Bumgarner) in this game and have an 8-10 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Perez will take the mound against the Giants, who have a 44-39 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – SF, O/U – Over
Notes
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games.
Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 7 games when playing San Francisco.
Atlanta is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Francisco.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco.
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco.
The Braves managed to give up five walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Giants who are coming in with a 9-5 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Giants are 5-32. The Braves have a 9-41 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 30th in home runs, Atlanta has hit 68 this season. San Francisco ranks 18th with 93 home runs.
Ranking eighth, Atlanta is in the top 10 of the league in hits, notching 8.57 per game. San Francisco ranks in the top five at second with 9.42.
Ranking 27th, Atlanta is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.676). San Francisco ranks in the top 10 at seventh with an OPS of .744.
The Giants are 27-33 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Braves are 19-41 when they allow at least one homer.
