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Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick 08/07/18

Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves are set to take on the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park in the 2 game of a NL East doubleheader. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the action.

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Vegas has listed Washington (-200) as the favorite over Atlanta (+185). Gamblers are able to wager on the game’s total with odds listed at -120 for over 7.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 7.5. The game’s current runline odds stand at -120 for taking the Braves +1.5 runs and +100 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.

The Nationals are 57-53 straight up (SU) and 53-58 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.3 units (ATS). Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Braves are 60-48 SU and have gone 56-51 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 16.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.6 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Nationals games have a 45-64-2 over/under record in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 52-51-4.

The right-handed Mike Foltynewicz is projected to start for Atlanta. Foltynewicz is 8-7 with a 3.04 ERA and 138 strikeouts. He’s 2-2 with 27 strikeouts and a 2.52 ERA against Washington this year (four starts).

The Nationals are sending righty Max Scherzer (15-5, 2.33 ERA) to the mound. Scherzer has 210 strikeouts and 38 walks to his name, as well as a 0.91 WHIP. Scherzer is 2-1 with 24 strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA across three starts against Atlanta this year.

Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.71 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.67 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.06, along with a K/9 of 9.08.

Braves hitters have slashed .259/.326/.421 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Atlanta’s hitters have been led by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman, who have combined to swat 31 home runs. Markakis is slashing .319/.386/.492 with 13 home runs, 68 RBIs and 62 runs scored. Freeman has a .316 average with 18 homers, 69 RBIs and 66 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Washington’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.88, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 3.66 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 45 games against divisional foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.42 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.14.

The Washington hitters are putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 9.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .349/.438/.623 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.

The Nationals’ offense has been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is slashing .269/.342/.416 with 14 home runs, 47 RBIs, 68 runs and 30 stolen bases, and Rendon’s line is .291/.350/.522 with 16 homers, 55 RBIs and 50 runs.

The Braves have gained 14.8 units and are 41-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in only two of Atlanta’s last seven contests.

The Braves have won six of their last seven games SU.

Washington has recorded 27.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 34.0 over its last five.

The Braves have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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