The NFL’s third-leading passer, Matt Ryan (1,751 yards, 8 TDs), and second-leading passer, Matt Ryan (1,751 yards, 8 TDs), will be on display when the Atlanta Falcons (5-1) meet the Tennessee Titans (1-4). The game starts at 1:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, Oct 25 and can be seen on FOX.
Tennessee lost big against the Dolphins 38-10 last week. Delanie Walker had a solid outing in the loss, registering eight catches for 97 yards. Atlanta also fell short, getting beat by the Saints 31-21. Devonta Freeman had a big game for the Falcons, racking up 156 total yards and two TDs. He had some success as both a runner (100 yards) and receiver (56 yards).
Atlanta is a three-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is 48 points.
The Titans enter the game with records of 1-4 Straight Up (SU) and 2-3 Against The Spread (ATS) this season. The Tennessee pass defense has played at a high level the past five games. It has given up 184.0 passing yards per game during that span. A vital part of the game will be if the Falcons can protect their quarterback from Tennessee’s vicious defense. It averages the fifth-most sacks in the league with three per game. Keep an eye on Tennessee to turn it up during the third quarter, when it averages nine points per game.
As for their opponent, the Falcons have 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS records this season. Offensively, they average 28 points per road game, which is fourth in the league. Atlanta has found a lot of success on the ground. Its 130 rushing yards per game ranks fourth in the NFL. Switching gears to the Atlanta defense, there are certain areas where it measures up well against the Titans. Atlanta’s top-ranked run defense has given its competition issues. Opponents have run for 78.8 yards per game against this terrorizing group. The Titans need to secure the football against the Falcons. The Titans are 30th in the league in turnovers with 2.2 per game. The Falcons close out games well. They average 12.2 points in the final quarter, more than any other team in the league.
Predictions: SU Winner – Atl, ATS Winner – Atl, O/U – Under
Notes
Tennessee is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games.
Tennessee is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee’s last 6 games at home.
Tennessee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Tennessee is 2-14-1 ATS in its last 17 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee’s last 9 games when playing Atlanta.
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta.
Tennessee is 3-4-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta.
Atlanta is 2-0 SU this season, when leading at the half. Tennessee is 1-1 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
According to overall NFL pass rankings, Tennessee is rated higher on both sides of the ball. Its 22nd-ranked offensive passing game will face the 29th-ranked pass defense of Atlanta, while its first-ranked pass defense will look to limit the eighth-ranked aerial attack of the Falcons.
Tennessee has allowed 29.0 points per game at home this year, which ranks it only 26th in the league. Atlanta has scored 28.0 points per contest on the road (ranked fourth overall).
