It will be a battle between Southeast Division opponents when the Charlotte Hornets (10-10) welcome the Atlanta Hawks (5-16) to the Spectrum Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Charlotte opened as a 12-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 233 points.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets Free Prediction
Although the Hawks defeated the Miami Heat in their last game, 115-113, they were unable to cover as 6.5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (228) came in just under the projected point total of 229. The Hawks made 27 of their 32 free throws (84.4 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.550 (above their season average of 0.507). Atlanta was lifted by Trae Young, who put up 17 points, 10 assists and five rebounds.
In the Hornets’ last matchup, they won a close one over the Milwaukee Bucks, 110-107, despite being 4.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (217) came in well under the projected point total of 233. The Hornets had a great free throw rate of 0.259 (above their season average of 0.197) and had a better turnover percentage (10.5 vs. 12.4). With 21 points and eight rebounds, Charlotte’s Jeremy Lamb put together a solid performance.
Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Hawks won the most recent matchup 124-123, covering as 6.5-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 247 points, which was 18 points above the projected point total of 229 points. Atlanta was lights out from beyond the arc (16-39; 41.0 percent). Charlotte, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (23-28; 82.1 percent). John Collins recorded a double-double with 23 points and 11 rebounds.
Atlanta heads into the contest with records of 5-16 straight up (SU) and 8-12 against the spread (ATS). Hawks games have typically gone over the total (55.0 percent).
Meanwhile, Charlotte is 10-10 SU and 13-7 ATS. Games involving the Hornets have no tendency in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Lamb has averaged 18 points,7.2 rebounds over the last five games for Charlotte.
The high-octane offense of Charlotte (fourth in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 111.0) will go head-to-head against the porous defense of Atlanta (23rd in the league with a defensive efficiency of 109.5). The Hornets figure to have the edge on that side of the ball.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Hornets, ATS Winner – Hornets, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Atlanta is 5-5 ATS with 5 overs and 5 unders.
Charlotte is 7-3 ATS at home with 6 overs and 4 unders.
In contests where they hold opponents below 100 points, Atlanta is 0-2 and Charlotte is 2-0.
When reaching the century mark, the Hawks are 5-11 and the Hornets are 10-9.
Charlotte ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while Atlanta ranks last (22.5).
The Hornets rank fourth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Hawks rank 28th (10.0).
Atlanta ranks fifth in blocks per game (6.0) while Charlotte ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (6.6).
The Hornets average 34.6 three pointers per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Hawks rank 28th in three pointers allowed per game (34.5).
Charlotte ranks eighth in assists per game (24.8) while Atlanta ranks last in assists allowed per game (27.3).
The Hornets rank 13 in second chance points per game (13.95) while the Hawks rank 29 in second chance points allowed per game (16.952380952380953).
Atlanta ranks 4 in fast break points per game (17.428571428571427) while Charlotte ranks 17 (11.8).
The Hornets rank 17 in rebounds allowed per game (45.65) while the Hawks rank 27 (48.285714285714285).
Atlanta averages 49.23809523809524 points in the paint per game, which ranks 10 in the NBA. Charlotte ranks 19 in points allowed in the paint per game (49.4).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.8, down from 10.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hornets have scored an average of 116.2 points per game (1.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 112.2 points per game (1.4 above their season average).
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