The Detroit Pistons (39-34) can extend a five-game home winning streak when they take on the Atlanta Hawks (43-30). Action begins at 7:30 pm ET on Saturday, Mar. 26 and can be seen on FxS and FxD.
The Pistons enter this game hoping for similar success after topping the Hornets 112-105 on Friday. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope was the team’s leading scorer with 21 points on 8-for-13 shooting. The Hawks, meanwhile, are coming off a 101-90 win against the Bucks on Friday. Al Horford had a good game for Atlanta, accounting for 14 points, eight rebounds, and three assists.
The Pistons could dominate the offensive glass in this matchup, as they’re ranked second in the league in offensive rebound percentage at 27.1%. Alternatively, Atlanta ranks 26th in the NBA on the defensive backboards with a defensive rebound percentage of 74.3%. Put-back points also figure to be rare for the Hawks. They rank 30th in the NBA in offensive rebounding (offensive rebound percentage of 19.5%), while the Pistons are third-best in the league on the defensive glass (defensive rebound percentage of 79.3%).
The Hawks lead the season series against the Pistons two games to one, including a 118-114 win the last time these two teams met. Horford put up a double-double in the victory with 21 points and 11 rebounds.
The Pistons have gone 39-34 Straight Up (SU) and 37-33-3 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have had success covering the spread (7-3). The rebounding edge goes to the Pistons in this matchup, who are one of the top rebounding teams in the league with an average of 46.2 boards per game.
In the other locker room, the Hawks have a record of 38-33-2 ATS and 43-30 SU. Against the Eastern Conference, Atlanta is 43-30 SU and 38-33-2 ATS. The Hawks average 99.0 points allowed per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 107.6 points per game during that span. The Atlanta defense has been a problem for competitors, allowing .433 shooting from the field to its opponents. Atlanta is the best team in the league at scoring points off turnovers with 19.1 per game.
Atlanta beat Detroit in their most recent meeting this season, bumping its SU record over the last 10 meetings to 6-4. The Hawks also lead the matchup ATS with a record of 5-4-1.
Predictions: SU Winner – Atl
Notes
“Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games “.
“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit’s last 6 games “.
“Detroit is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home”.
“Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home”.
“The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit’s last 8 games at home”.
“Detroit is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta”.
“Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta”.
“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit’s last 6 games when playing Atlanta”.
“Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta”.
“Detroit is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Atlanta”.
“Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta”.
Detroit ranks 16th in points per game with 102.5, while Atlanta ranks sixth in points allowed with an average of 99.0 given up.
Detroit and Atlanta are well matched, ranking seventh in points per home game and points allowed per away game respectively. Detroit scores an average of 106.4 points per home game, while Atlanta gives up 100.4 points per away game on average.
In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Detroit Pistons are a solid 24-9. In games where they fail to hit triple digits, the Atlanta Hawks have a poor record of 8-22.
When allowing 100 or more points in a game, the Pistons are just 15-25 this season. Atlanta is a tremendous 35-8 when it hits the century mark.
The Hawks have a defensive rating of 99.6, second-best in the NBA. The Pistons also rank in the top half of the league for their offensive rating of 104.0 (ranked 14th).
Detroit averages fewer possessions per game than Atlanta, with 98.5 compared to 99.1. However, the Pistons score an average of 1.040 points per possession, more than the 1.038 that the Hawks score.
The Atlanta Hawks have one of the best effective field goal percentages this season, ranking sixth in the league with an EFF% of 51.8%. When their opponents have a similar or higher EFF%, the Detroit Pistons are 12-15.
The Atlanta Hawks rank second in assists per game, making an average of 25.6. The Detroit Pistons are among the worst in the league with 19.4 assists per game (ranked 27th).
The Detroit Pistons average 3.6 blocks per game for a rank of 30th. The Atlanta Hawks rank higher (eighth), earning 5.7 blocks each contest.
The Detroit Pistons are among the best offensive rebounding teams in the league (ranked second). The Atlanta Hawks are in the top half of NBA teams in defensive rebounding (ranked 15th).
Atlanta averages 9.3 steals per game, ranking third in the league. Detroit is a losing 6-14 when it allows at least 9 steals.
