The Golden State Warriors (11-3) square off against the Atlanta Hawks (3-10) at ORACLE Arena. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 13, 2018, and will air on NBATV.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors Free Prediction
The last time the Hawks played, they were topped by the Los Angeles Lakers, 107-106, but they were able to cover as 11-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (213) were well under the projected point total of 236.5. Los Angeles’ free throw rate was their largest advantage over Atlanta. The Lakers had a rate of 0.163 (above their season average of 0.162), while the Hawks posted a mark of 0.116 (below their season average of 0.213). Trae Young had a solid performance for Atlanta, finishing with 20 points and 12 assists.
The Warriors lost to the Los Angeles Clippers in their last contest, 121-116, but were able to cover as 8-point underdogs. The total points for the game (237) came in over the O/U total of 223.5. Los Angeles was successful at getting to and converting from the free throw line. The Clippers made 30 of their 34 free throws (88.2 percent), while the Warriors were just 16-23 (69.6 percent). Kevin Durant had a big performance for Golden State, collecting 33 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists on his way to his zeroth triple-double this season.
The high-octane offense of Golden State (first in the league with an offensive efficiency of 117.3) will face off against the porous defense of Atlanta (22nd in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 109.0). The Warriors figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.
Atlanta comes into the game with records of 3-10 straight up (SU) and 5-8 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Hawks games, with 7 overs compared to 6 unders.
Meanwhile, Golden State is 11-3 SU and 8-5 ATS. Warriors games also have a slight tendency to go over the total (53.8 percent).
Klay Thompson has averaged 23.0 points over the last five games for Golden State.
After the Warriors won both matchups against the Hawks last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent game, Golden State won 106-94. The Warriors had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (20.4 vs. 12.2) and had a better turnover percentage (6.7 vs. 10.6).
Hawks vs. Warriors Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Atlanta is 3-4 ATS on the road with 4 overs and 3 unders.
At home, Golden State is 6-2 ATS with 5 unders and 3 overs.
Atlanta is 0-1 when they allow less than 100 points, while Golden State is 1-0.
When scoring above 100 points, the Warriors are 11-2 and the Hawks are 3-8.
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (30.1) while Atlanta ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (26.7).
The Warriors rank fourth in fast break points per game (19.6) while the Hawks rank 28th in fast break points allowed per game (17.4).
Atlanta averages 35.3 three pointers per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Golden State ranks 26th in three pointers allowed per game (35.2).
The Warriors rank third in rebounds allowed per game (41.2) while the Hawks rank 21st (47.8).
Golden State ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while Atlanta ranks 18th (5.5).
The Hawks rank ninth in steals per game (8.3) while the Warriors rank 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.5).
Golden State ranks 12th in second chance points allowed per game (12.4) while Atlanta ranks 26th (17.2).
The Warriors rank 16th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5) while the Hawks rank 27th (24.2).
Atlanta ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (48.6) while Golden State ranks 16th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.0).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, Atlanta is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Golden State is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.4, down from 9.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 115.2 points per game (6.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.0 points per game (0.6 below their season average).
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