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Auburn Tigers – Arkansas Razorbacks Preview – 02.17.2016

It will be a a low-scoring game between two of the Southeastern’s top scoring defenses when the Arkansas Razorbacks (12-13) take on the Auburn Tigers (9-15). The game starts at 7:00 pm ET on Wednesday, Feb. 17 and can be seen on SEC and ES3.

The Razorbacks are hoping for a better outcome after their 76-60 loss to Ole Miss on Saturday. Despite the loss, Moses Kingsley earned his 12th double-double this season with 19 points and 13 rebounds. The Tigers, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their deflating 86-57 loss at the hands of Vanderbilt on Saturday. Cinmeon Bowers scored 12 points and recorded 15 rebounds earning his 10th double-double of the season.

The Razorbacks enter the game with records of 12-13 Straight Up (SU) and 12-9 Against The Spread (ATS). They are 3-7 ATS over their last 10 games. The Razorbacks come into the game with the 35th-ranked scoring offense in the nation, averaging 79.5 points per game. The Razorbacks are one of the best in Division I in terms of field-goal percentage, shooting a superb .407 from beyond the arc. Arkansas has the 25th-most assists in Division I, averaging 16.5 per game. As for the Arkansas defense, an area where the Razorbacks are particularly strong is shot blocking, where they average 5.3 blocks per game, 23rd in Division I. Arkansas has given up very few turnovers with an average of only 11.4 per game.

On the other side, the Tigers have 9-15 SU and 9-14 ATS records.

These conference rivals will be facing off in their first head-to-head clash of the season. When they last met the Razorbacks were winners, bringing their SU record to 9-1 over Auburn in the most recent games. The Tigers lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4. In these last five matchups, each team was able to hold the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers one time.

Predictions: SU Winner – Ark, ATS Winner – Ark

Notes

“Arkansas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games “.

“Arkansas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games “.

“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas’s last 6 games “.

“Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home”.

“Arkansas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home”.

“The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas’s last 5 games at home”.

“Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Auburn”.

“Arkansas is 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Auburn”.

“Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Auburn”.

“The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas’s last 5 games when playing Auburn”.

“Arkansas is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Auburn”.

“Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Auburn”.

“The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas’s last 5 games when playing at home against Auburn”.

Arkansas averages 79.5 points per game (ranked 35th). Auburn, on the other hand, allows 77.6 points per game (ranked 225th).

In its last game, Auburn lost by a margin of 29 points. Arkansas is 7-2 in games decided by a margin of 18 points or more. Auburn has a 2-6 record in blowouts.

The Arkansas Razorbacks average 72.6 possessions and 1.095 points per possession in games this season. The Auburn Tigers average fewer possessions with 72.3, as well as fewer points per possession with .987.

Arkansas has an average effective field goal percentage of 50.0%. Auburn is an abysmal 2-12 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

On average, the Arkansas Razorbacks attempt 16.0 three point field goals per game and the Auburn Tigers attempt 26.0. In games where they attempt at least 20 threes, Arkansas is an even 3-3, while Auburn has a subpar record of 8-15.

The 22nd-ranked team in the category, Arkansas has an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.45 this season. Auburn ranks outside the top 100 at 299th with an A/TO of .86.

Arkansas ranks 99th in offensive rebounding. Auburn ranks 185th in defensive rebounding.

Arkansas has forced an average turnover percentage of 20.2% this season. Auburn has an underachieving 2-6 record when its TO% is 20.2% or higher.

Written by GMS Previews

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