The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. Fox Sports North will televise this AL showdown and the game gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Vegas has listed Baltimore (+110) as the dog to Minnesota (-120). The total sits at 9.5 runs and bettors can take the over for +105 or the under for -125. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -190 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and +165 for the Twins -1.5 runs.
The Twins are 45-38 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 36-48 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 14.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 2.8 units (ATS). Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles have gone 24-62 SU this year and are 32-53 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 35.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 27.1 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.
Twins games have an over/under record of 39-41-3 so far in 2018. Baltimore has been a great under bet with a total record of 33-49-3.
Right-hander Dylan Bundy is the projected starter for the visiting Orioles. Bundy is 6-7 with a 3.75 ERA and 108 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Minnesota this year.
The Twins are sending righty Lance Lynn (5-7, 5.49 ERA) to the mound. Lynn has 82 strikeouts and 50 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.68. Lynn has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 13.50 ERA and five strikeouts across four and 2-third innings).
As a unit, Minnesota’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 4.37 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.46 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.
The Minnesota hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .244/.292/.411 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Twins’ hitters have been led by outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is hitting .307/.348/.551 with 18 home runs, 53 RBIs and 57 runs scored, and Escobar’s line is .274/.331/.524 with 13 homers, 50 RBIs and 39 runs.
For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.09 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.48 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.39, along with a WHIP of 1.47.
The Orioles offense has slashed .226/.291/.379 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game this season, including 3.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Baltimore’s offense has been fueled by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones. Machado is slashing .308/.378/.561 with 21 home runs, 59 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Jones (.287/.314/.438) has produced 10 homers, 33 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 26.8 units and are 19-36 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 8.2 units and are 31-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 29 of those games, compared to 28 that went under the total.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in five of Baltimore’s last seven games.
The Orioles have dropped 10 of their last 11 games SU.
Baltimore has recorded 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.0 over its last five.
The Orioles have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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