The New York Yankees are playing host to their AL East nemesis Baltimore Orioles at Yankee Stadium. The matchup will begin at 1:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.
Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Odds
Baltimore (+250) is entering this one as the underdog to New York (-300) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. The game’s runline odds stand at +120 for picking the Orioles +1.5 runs and -140 for the Yankees -1.5 runs.
The Orioles are 44-110 SU and are 62-91 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 54.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 42.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 95-59 SU and 75-78 ATS. They’ve lost 10.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.1 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Yankees games have an over/under record of 70-76-7 in 2018. The Orioles have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 69-79-5.
The right-handed Alex Cobb is projected to start for the visiting Orioles. Cobb is 5-15 with a 4.90 ERA and 102 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Yankees are going with lefty J.A. Happ (16-6, 3.62 ERA), who has 179 strikeouts and 47 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.13. Happ is 3-0 with 30 strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA across four starts against Baltimore this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 4.04 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.34 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 11.3 K/9. In 68 divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.04 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.39.
New York’s hitters have produced 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .230/.339/.485 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Yankees’ offense has been led by Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton. Andujar is hitting .297/.330/.521 with 25 home runs, 84 RBIs and 78 runs scored, while Stanton is batting .259 with 35 homers, 93 RBIs and 94 runs.
In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.50 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.18 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.73, along with a K-per-9 of 8.19.
The Orioles offense has slashed .239/.300/.391 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Baltimore’s offensive production has been fueled by outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini. Jones is slashing .281/.312/.420 with 15 home runs, 60 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Mancini (.240/.299/.413) is up to 23 homers, 53 RBIs and 64 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 7.3 units and are 23-27 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 12.2 units and are 56-53 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 51 of those games, compared to 55 that went under.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Baltimore has recorded 10 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 20 XBH over its last five.
The Orioles have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
New York has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.6 over its last five.
The Orioles have lost four of their last five games SU while the Yankees have taken four of their last five.
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