The Baltimore Orioles will be facing off against their divisional rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Odds
New York (-115) is the favorite over Baltimore (-105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-105 for the under and -115 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at +210 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and -230 for the Yankees -1.5.
The Orioles have gone 3-5 SU this year and are 2-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.0 units for moneyline bettors this year and 3.7 units ATS. The Yankees are 4-4 SU and 4-3 ATS. They’ve lost 0.3 units for moneyline bettors and 0.8 units ATS.
New York games have an over/under record of 3-4 thus far in 2018. Orioles games have gone under six times, gone over once and pushed on zero occasions.
The Orioles have lost 1.1 units and are 1-5 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in one of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 2.3 units and are 2-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in two of those games, as opposed to three which went under the total.
Chris Tillman (0-1, 9.00 ERA) will get the nod for Baltimore. The right-handed Tillman started 19 games last year and finished the season 1-7 overall with a 7.84 ERA and a 1.89 WHIP. He made two starts against the Yankees in 2017 and put together a 0-2 record against them with a 19.29 ERA and three strikeouts.
The Bronx Bombers are turning to righty Sonny Gray (0-0, 2.25 ERA), who recorded 153 strikeouts across 162 innings last year with 57 walks. Gray finished the season 10-12 overall with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. He recorded two starts against Baltimore a year ago and compiled a 1-1 record with a 4.66 ERA and nine strikeouts.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 2.49 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.40 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 13.1 K/9. In eight games against AL East foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 2.49 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.40.
New York’s offense is putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .195/.310/.368 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Yankees’ batters have been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and outfielder Aaron Judge. Gregorius is slashing .393/.514/.964 with 11 hits, 10 RBIs and eight runs scored, and Judge’s line is .276/.432/.517 with eight hits, five RBIs and six runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .284/.422/.627, Judge appeared to enjoy facing righties at home last season, hitting .318/.424/.771 across 257 plate appearances.
In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.50 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.36 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.24, along with a K/9 of 9.53.
Orioles hitters have slashed .195/.276/.345 on their way to 3.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Baltimore’s hitters have been led by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones. Machado is slashing .313/.421/.531 with 10 hits, two RBIs and four runs scored, while Jones (.257/.297/.543) is up to nine hits, three homers, seven RBIs and three runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado did not do especially well against righties on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .227/.264/.387 across 254 such plate appearances.
Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Orioles went 7-12 SU against the Yankees last season.
The Orioles’ bullpen posted 6.38 ERA against the Yankees last year.
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