The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on their division rival Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:07 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the matchup.
Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Toronto (-130) is hosting this game as the favorite over Baltimore (+120) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Runline odds sit at -175 for taking the Orioles +1.5 runs and +155 for the Blue Jays -1.5.
The Blue Jays are 29-35 SU and 30-33 ATS. They’ve lost 8.6 units for moneyline bettors and 5.9 units against the spread (ATS). On the other hand, the Orioles are 19-44 SU and have gone 23-39 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 23.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 19.9 units ATS.
Blue Jays games have a 28-27-8 over/under record so far in 2018. The Orioles have been a decent under bet with a total record of 25-35-2.
Right-hander Alex Cobb is getting the start for Baltimore. Cobb is 2-7 with a 6.19 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He has yet to face Toronto this year, but he did make two starts against the Blue Jays in 2017, compiling a 0-1 record against them with a 1.46 ERA and eight strikeouts.
The Blue Jays will put the ball in the right hand of Marco Estrada (2-6, 5.29 ERA), who’s got 48 strikeouts and 17 walks this season as well as a 1.42 WHIP. Estrada is 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA across one starts against Baltimore this year.
As a unit, Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.98 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.03 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 28 divisional games, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.50 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.22.
The Toronto hitters have produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .242/.299/.423 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielder Kevin Pillar and third baseman Yangervis Solarte have led the Blue Jays’ batters this year. Pillar is hitting .264/.302/.439 with six home runs, 24 RBIs, 31 runs and nine stolen bases, while Solarte’s line is .249/.309/.452 with 12 homers, 37 RBIs and 32 runs scored.
In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.18 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 7.76 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.31, along with a WHIP of 1.52.
Orioles hitters have slashed .228/.293/.379 on their way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Adam Jones continue to lead Baltimore’s offense. Machado is hitting .311/.380/.594 with 18 home runs, 50 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Jones is slashing .285/.304/.458 with 10 homers, 29 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 17.4 units and are 14-26 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 1.2 units and are 18-20 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in just one of Baltimore’s last seven games.
Toronto has posted 20.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.8 over its last five.
The Orioles have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 13 over their last 10.
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