The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on their divisional rival Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the action and the game will get going at 1:07 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Baltimore (+170) is the underdog against Toronto (-180) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Orioles +1.5 runs (-130) and Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+110).
The Orioles have gone only 28-70 SU this year and are 38-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 37.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.5 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 44-52 SU and 44-51 ATS. The team has lost 8.1 units for moneyline bettors and 12.3 units ATS. Toronto has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Toronto games have had an over/under record of 44-43-8 so far in 2018. The Orioles have been a strong under bet with a total record of 38-55-4.
Alex Cobb will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Cobb (2-12, 6.41 ERA) has recorded 63 punchouts in 92.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 22.09 ERA against Toronto this year.
The Blue Jays are sending righty Marcus Stroman (2-7, 5.86 ERA) to the mound. Stroman has 52 punchouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a 1.50 WHIP. Stroman hasn’t faced the Orioles yet this year, but he made three starts against them in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 0.00 ERA and 18 strikeouts.
Toronto’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 4.98 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.94 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 40 games against divisional opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.63 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.04.
Toronto’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .274/.351/.484 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Blue Jays’ hitters have been led by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and outfielder Kevin Pillar. Solarte is hitting .238/.296/.417 with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and 43 runs scored, and Pillar’s line sits at .247/.279/.407 with eight homers, 37 RBIs, 42 runs and 11 steals.
For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.33 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.50 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.29, along with a WHIP of 1.49.
The Orioles offense has slashed .227/.291/.382 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Adam Jones continue to lead Baltimore’s hitters. Machado is slashing .315/.387/.575 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored. Jones (.275/.301/.421) is up to 10 homers, 36 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 31.6 units and are 22-41 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 25 of those games, as opposed to 35 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 5.5 units and are 29-31 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 30 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under.
Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in three of Toronto’s last seven games.
The Baltimore defense has allowed eight errors over the last 10 games, compared to 13 errors for Toronto over its last 10.
The Orioles have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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