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Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick 07/22/18

Patrick McDermott-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles will take on their divisional rival Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:07 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Baltimore (+182) as the underdog to Toronto (-195). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over 9 runs and -115 for under 9. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -120 for betting the Orioles +1.5 runs and +100 for the Blue Jays -1.5 runs.

The Orioles are only 28-71 SU and are 39-59 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 38.0 units for moneyline bettors and 27.5 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 45-52 SU and 44-52 ATS. They’ve lost 7.1 units for moneyline bettors and 13.3 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Toronto games have had an over/under record of 45-43-8 so far in 2018. Baltimore has been a solid under bet with a total record of 39-55-4.

Andrew Cashner is getting the start for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Cashner is 2-9 with a 4.56 ERA and 81 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.08 ERA against Toronto this year (two starts).

The Blue Jays are going with lefty J.A. Happ (10-6, 4.29 ERA), who has 121 strikeouts and 35 walks, as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Happ is 2-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 0.69 ERA over two starts against Baltimore this year.

Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.30 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.50 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.26, along with a WHIP of 1.49 and a K/9 of 8.23.

The Orioles offense has slashed .227/.291/.380 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game this season, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones continue to lead Baltimore’s offense. Machado is slashing .315/.387/.575 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Jones is hitting .277 with 10 homers, 37 RBIs and 39 runs scored.

For the home team, Toronto’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.93 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 41 games against divisional opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.00.

The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .260/.355/.446 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Blue Jays’ batters have been led by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and outfielder Kevin Pillar. Solarte is slashing .236/.293/.413 with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and 44 runs scored, and Pillar’s line sits at .247/.279/.407 with eight homers, 37 RBIs, 42 runs and 11 steals.

The Orioles have lost 5.4 units and are 16-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 6.5 units and are 29-32 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 31 of those games, compared to 26 that went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Notes

Baltimore has logged 14 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Toronto has 18 XBH over its last five.

The Baltimore defense has allowed four errors over its last five games, compared to nine errors for Toronto over its last five.

The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 16 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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