The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on their AL East nemesis Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will showcase the matchup and the game will get going at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Vegas has listed Boston (-210) as the favorite over Baltimore (+190). The total is sitting at 7 runs and gamblers can take the over for -105 and the under for -115. The game’s current runline odds sit at -115 for taking the Orioles +1.5 runs and -105 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Red Sox are 12-2 SU and 6-7 ATS. The team’s gained 8.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.9 units against the spread (ATS). Boston has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Orioles are 5-10 SU and have gone 6-8 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 2.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year and 2.0 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.
Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 7-5-1 so far in 2018. Baltimore has an over/under record of 5-8-1.
The Orioles have gained 0.1 units and are 3-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 7.3 units and are 6-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in seven of those games, as opposed to four that’ve gone under.
Dylan Bundy (0-1, 1.35 ERA) will get the start for Baltimore. The right-handed Bundy started 28 games last year and finished the season 13-9 overall with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. He made five starts against Boston in 2017 and put together a 2-2 record against the Red Sox with a 3.94 ERA and 14 strikeouts.
The BoSox are rolling with lefty Chris Sale (1-0, 1.06 ERA) as their starter. Sale recorded 308 strikeouts over 214 innings last year (32 starts), while finishing the season 17-8 overall with a 2.90 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP. He recorded three starts against Baltimore a year ago and assembled a 3-0 record with a 2.05 ERA and 33 strikeouts.
As a unit, Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.3 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 2.08 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.50 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 12 games against AL East foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 2.15 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.02.
The Boston offense has produced 6.1 runs per contest, including 6.3 per game against divisional foes and 8.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .313/.392/.523 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Right fielder Mookie Betts and first baseman Hanley Ramirez have led the Red Sox hitters this year. Betts is slashing .353/.452/.608 with 18 hits, 10 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Ramirez’s line is .362/.415/.617 with 17 hits, 15 RBIs and 10 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.62 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 8.06 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.99, along with a WHIP of 1.59.
The Orioles offense has slashed .222/.294/.351 on its way to 3.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Baltimore’s offensive production been led by Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez. Machado is hitting .311/.400/.525 with 19 hits, eight RBIs and six runs scored, while Alvarez is hitting .304 with seven hits, two homers, seven RBIs and five runs scored.
Machado didn’t perform especially well on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .229/.268/.398 across 336 plate appearances (his overall season line was .260/.311/.473).
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Orioles have lost four of their last five games SU while the Red Sox have won 12 of their last 13 SU.
Boston has posted 29.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 30.8 over its last five.
The Orioles have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 11 over their last 10.
*****
