The Baltimore Orioles are set to play the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. This AL showdown begins at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on NSC+ and MAS2.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Chicago (+115) as the underdog to Baltimore (-125). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at even money (+100) for over 9.5 runs and -120 for under 9.5. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at +120 for the Orioles -1.5 runs and -140 for the White Sox +1.5 runs.
The Orioles have gone just 15-33 SU this year and are 18-29 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.2 units for moneyline bettors over the early part of the year and 12.4 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 14-31 SU and 23-21 ATS. The team has lost 15.8 units for moneyline bettors and 1.5 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
White Sox games have an over/under record of 20-22-2 thus far in 2018. Baltimore has an over/under record of 21-24-2.
The right-handed Alex Cobb is projected to start for the visiting Orioles. Cobb is 1-5 with a 6.56 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face the White Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The White Sox will turn to righty Dylan Covey (0-1, 6.00 ERA), who’s got three strikeouts and three walks to his credit as well as a 1.67 WHIP. Covey only made one start against the Orioles in 2017 (0-1, 13.50 ERA and three strikeouts across four innings).
Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.44 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.35, along with a K-per-9 of 8.28.
Orioles hitters have slashed .233/.297/.398 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led Baltimore’s hitters. Machado is slashing .335/.412/.649 with 15 home runs, 43 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Jones is hitting .268 with eight homers, 24 RBIs and 20 runs scored.
Machado didn’t perform especially well against righties on the road in 2017. Over 254 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .227/.264/.387 (his overall season line was .260/.311/.473).
For the home team, Chicago’s pitchers have yielded 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.64, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.1. The bullpen has a 4.29 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.
Chicago’s offense has produced 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .281/.342/.421 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The White Sox batters have been led by first baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez. Abreu is slashing .306/.373/.532 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Sanchez’s line is .288/.322/.423 with 47 hits, 21 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 12.4 units and are 11-18 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 16 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 10.8 units and are 18-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 13 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve cashed the under.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The White Sox have won three of their last four games SU.
Chicago has posted 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.8 over its last five.
The Orioles have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The White Sox have hit six over their last 10.
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