The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. This AL matchup is going to be nationally broadcasted on Fox Sports One and the first pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Indians Odds
Vegas is listing Cleveland (-210) as the favorite over Baltimore (+190). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -120 for over 9.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 9.5. You can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Orioles +1.5 runs (-115) and Indians -1.5 runs (-105).
The Orioles are 36-86 SU and have gone 51-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 41.5 units for moneyline bettors and 28.9 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 70-51 SU and 59-61 ATS. The team’s lost 10.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.5 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Indians games have a 61-55-4 over/under record in 2018. The Orioles have been a decent under bet with a total record of 53-63-5.
The right-handed Alex Cobb will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. Cobb is 3-15 with a 5.31 ERA and 85 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 3.86 ERA and seven strikeouts across seven innings).
The Indians are putting the ball in the right hand of Adam Plutko (4-2, 4.75 ERA), who has 29 strikeouts and 11 walks this season as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Plutko did not pitch in the majors last season.
Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.33 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.22 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.71, along with a WHIP of 1.48.
Orioles hitters have slashed .238/.302/.399 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Baltimore’s offense has been powered by right fielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado. Jones is slashing .285/.317/.438 with 13 home runs, 49 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Machado (.315/.387/.575) is up to 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.30, a WHIP of 1.14 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 4.86 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The Cleveland offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .301/.385/.426 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that span.
The Indians’ batters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez. Lindor is slashing .291/.371/.551 with 29 home runs, 75 RBIs, 102 runs and 19 stolen bases, and Ramirez’s line is .303/.414/.640 with 37 homers, 91 RBIs, 85 runs and 27 stolen bases.
The Orioles have lost 34.6 units and are 32-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 38 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 9.9 units and are 43-46 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 46 of those games, compared to 40 that went under the total.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Indians MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Baltimore has tallied 11 extra-base hits over its last five games. Cleveland has 12 XBH over its last five.
The Orioles have lost seven of their last eight games SU while the Indians have won eight of their last nine.
Baltimore has recorded 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.0 over its last five.
The Orioles have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 10 over their last 10.
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