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Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Preview 07/08/18

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. Fox Sports North will be airing this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins Odds

Baltimore (+150) is coming into this one as the underdog against Minnesota (-160) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -145 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and +125 for the Twins -1.5.

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The Orioles are just 24-64 SU and have gone 32-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 37.4 units for moneyline bettors and 30.5 units ATS. The Twins, on the other hand, are 38-48 SU and 47-38 ATS. The team has lost 12.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 5.8 units ATS.

Minnesota games have an over/under record of 39-43-3 so far in 2018. Baltimore has been a great under bet with a total record of 33-51-3.

The right-handed Alex Cobb is projected to start for the visiting Orioles. Cobb is 2-10 with a 6.53 ERA and 55 strikeouts. He has yet to face Minnesota this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record with a 1.69 ERA and 13 strikeouts.

The Twins will put the ball in the right hand of Jake Odorizzi (3-6, 4.57 ERA), who has 97 strikeouts and 43 walks as well as a 1.44 WHIP. Odorizzi is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.

Minnesota’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Minnesota hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .222/.272/.364 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar have led the Twins’ hitters this year. Rosario is slashing .306/.346/.544 with 18 home runs, 53 RBIs and 58 runs scored, and Escobar’s line sits at .270/.327/.517 with 13 homers, 50 RBIs and 39 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.15 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.48 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.34, along with a WHIP of 1.48.

The Orioles offense has slashed .227/.291/.378 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been led by shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones. Machado is slashing .310/.380/.557 with 21 home runs, 60 RBIs and 43 runs scored. Jones is hitting .282/.309/.432 with 10 homers, 33 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 28.8 units and are 19-38 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 6.2 units and are 33-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 29 of those games, as opposed to 30 which went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in zero of Baltimore’s last seven contests.

The Orioles have dropped 12 of their last 13 games SU.

Baltimore has posted 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.0 over its last five.

The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 11 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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