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Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Matchup 07/07/18

Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins are playing host to the Baltimore Orioles at Target Field. Fox Sports North will televise this AL matchup. The opening pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

Minnesota (-150) is hosting this one as the favorite against Baltimore (+140) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). You can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -155 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and +135 for the Twins -1.5.

ACC Atlantic, Over/Under, Clemson, Florida State

The Twins are 46-38 against the spread (ATS), but only 37-48 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 13.2 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.3 units (ATS). Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Orioles are 24-63 SU and have gone 32-54 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 36.4 units for moneyline bettors and 28.8 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.

Twins games have an over/under record of 39-42-3 so far in 2018. Orioles games have gone under 50 times, gone over 33 times and pushed on three occasions.

Kevin Gausman is getting the nod for Baltimore. The right-handed Gausman is 4-6 with a 4.05 ERA and 90 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA against Minnesota this year.

The Twins will be sending righty Kyle Gibson (2-6, 3.58 ERA) to the hill. Gibson has 96 strikeouts and 42 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.28. Gibson is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.

Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.33 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.4 K/9.

The Minnesota offense has produced 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .228/.263/.345 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar have led the Twins’ offense this year. Rosario is slashing .310/.350/.551 with 18 home runs, 53 RBIs and 58 runs scored, and Escobar is batting .270 with 13 homers, 50 RBIs and 39 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.15 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.47 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.32, along with a K/9 of 8.12.

The Orioles offense has slashed .227/.291/.378 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have led Baltimore’s offense. Machado is slashing .310/.381/.560 with 21 home runs, 59 RBIs and 43 runs scored. Jones (.283/.309/.431) has produced 10 homers, 33 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 27.8 units and are 19-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 33 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 7.2 units and are 32-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 29 which went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in zero of Baltimore’s last seven outings.

The Orioles have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

Minnesota has posted 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.2 over its last five.

The Orioles have dropped 11 of their last 12 games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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