Ubaldo Jimenez (9-7, 3.92 ERA) and Noah Syndergaard (7-6, 3.07 ERA) take the hill in the second of a two-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (61-57) and the New York Mets (64-55) at Camden Yards. The Mets won the last game 5-3 and New York leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 19 and can be seen on MASN and SNY.
Jimenez pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out six and walking two in an 8-6 defeat to the Athletics. Manny Machado (.299, 75 Rs, 25 HRs, 62 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. Syndergaard went 7.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out five and walking two in a 12-3 win over the Rockies in his last outing. Curtis Granderson (.252, 65 Rs, 22 HRs, 52 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and two RBIs.
New York is a narrow -107 favorite over Baltimore. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of seven runs. The Orioles have an overall money line of +209 and a record as the underdog of 22-30. Baltimore has recorded a disappointing 1-4 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Orioles are one of the best in the MLB in terms of home runs with 157. Turning to the pitchers, opposing offenses have been stifled by the Orioles, who have a team ERA of only 3.68. The Orioles are the second-best team in the AL at limiting walks during home games, allowing only 2.3 walks per game to their opponents this season.
As for their opponent, New York is coming in with an overall money line of +661 and an impressive record of 49-19 as the favorite. New York is 5-1 as the favorite and 6-6 SU against American League opponents. The Mets allow 3.5 runs per game, but does worse whenever an AL opponent is on the schedule. They bring that runs allowed average up to 4.1 against teams from the AL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Mets are the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.16 for the season.
The Mets have the edge in the season series, 3-0. The Orioles have a 44-45 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Syndergaard takes the mound. Jimenez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 50-43 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Baltimore is 24-16, while New York is 25-20.
The Mets managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Orioles who are heading in with an 18-12 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 44-11. The Mets have a 45-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th in runs, New York has earned 443 this season. Baltimore ranks fifth with 529 runs.
Ranking 25th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 286 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 328.
When the Orioles hit at least one home run, they are 54-31, well-matched with the Mets who are 41-22 when hitting one or more homers.
