Jacob deGrom (11-6, 2.02 ERA) takes the mound for the New York Mets (63-55) as they meet Kevin Gausman (2-4, 4.48 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles (61-56) in the first of a two-game series at Camden Yards. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 18 and will air on MASN and SNY.
In his most recent outing, Gausman pitched 7.0 innings, giving up three runs, striking out eight and walking two in a 3-0 loss to the Mariners. Manny Machado (.299, 75 Rs, 25 HRs, 62 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. The Mets were victorious the last time deGrom pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 7.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out 10 and walking four in a 3-0 victory over the Rockies.
Baltimore, a +110 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against New York. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at seven runs. When playing as the underdog, the Orioles have a 22-30 record and overall money line at +109. They are 1-4 as the underdog over their last 10 games. Over their past 10 games, Baltimore’s offense has been playing lights out, averaging 5.8 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.5. The Orioles rank third in the majors in home runs with 156. Baltimore’s pitching staff can be considered one of the best in the NL. The Orioles have a team ERA of 3.70, one of the lowest in their league. The Orioles don’t give up many walks to opposing batters at Camden Yards, ranking second in the AL with only 2.2 walks allowed per home game.
Switching to the opposing bench, the Mets come into this game with a solid win percentage of .721 when playing as the favorite (49-19) and an overall money line of +661. When playing teams in the American League, they have a 5-1 as the favorite and 6-6 SU. New York’s pitching staff tends to perform poorly when they play AL opponents. They’ve allowed an average of 4.1 runs per game against teams from the AL, higher than their season average of 3.5. They have a WHIP of 1.16 on the year, good for tops in the league.
The previous two games have all gone New York’s way. This game will feature deGrom (RHP) on the mound against the Orioles, who have a 43-45 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Mets will be the right-hander Gausman. They sport a 50-43 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYM, O/U – Over
Notes
The Orioles managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Mets who are coming in with a 29-8 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
It looks like the Orioles have a slight leg up on the Mets, as the Orioles have won their last four games while the Mets have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 44-11. The Mets have a 44-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 25th, New York sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 438 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fifth with 526.
Ranking 25th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 282 this season. New York ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 325.
When the Orioles hit at least one home run, they are 54-30, well-matched with the Mets who are 40-22 when hitting one or more homers.
