Wei-Yin Chen (10-8, 3.35 ERA) and Luis Severino (5-3, 2.77 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (78-81) and the New York Yankees (87-72) at Camden Yards. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Oct. 2 and can be seen on YES and MASN.
Chen pitched 5.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out seven and walking two in an 8-0 defeat to the Red Sox. Manny Machado (.287, 98 Rs, 33 HRs, 82 RBIs, 20 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 4 with three runs, two home runs, three RBIs, and two stolen bases. Severino went 6.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out two and walking one in a 6-1 win over the White Sox in his most recent start. Alex Rodriguez (.252, 83 Rs, 33 HRs, 86 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
The odds for Baltimore and New York are even, while the Over/Under (O/U) is currently unavailable. Within its division, Baltimore has a record of 36-37 SU. The Orioles have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game. Baltimore’s pitchers fall apart when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 4.8 against fellow AL East members, compared to its 4.3 season average.
The Yankees are 37-35 against AL East foes. Offensively, the Yankees have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.8 runs per game by averaging 3.1 during that stretch. The Yankees have a dynamic offense, ranking third in the league with 496 extra base hits. New York is excellent at drawing walks with 3.4 per game, ranking second in the AL. The Yankees have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.5 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Yankees lead the season series, 9-7. The Orioles have a 56-59 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Severino takes the mound. Chen (LHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 26-22 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYY
Notes
When leading after 7 innings, Baltimore is 30-26, while New York is 36-42.
The Yankees managed to give up four walks in their last game. They’ll have to pick it up against the Orioles who are heading in with a 22-23 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 57-13. The Yankees have a 58-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 11th in runs, Baltimore has earned 691 this season. New York ranks second with 755 runs.
Ranking 25th, Baltimore is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 405 this season. New York ranks in the top five at fourth with 542.
When the Orioles hit at least one home run, they are 67-43, well-matched with the Yankees who are 75-43 when hitting one or more homers.
