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Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Game Pick

CC Sabathia (3-7, 5.25 ERA) and the New York Yankees (33-27) are in Baltimore to go up against Bud Norris (2-4, 8.63 ERA) and the Orioles (30-30) in a game that could be high scoring. This is the second of a three-game series at Camden Yards. The Orioles won the last game 11-3, extending a five-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 13 and will air on FOX.

Norris is 4-1 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.24 WHIP against the Yankees in his career. Jimmy Paredes (.302, 26 Rs, 6 HRs, 28 RBIs, 3 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 5 with two runs and two RBIs. In his career against the Orioles, Sabathia is 18-7 with a 3.40 ERA. He gets a strong Baltimore offense that’s batting .256. Mark Teixeira (.250, 30 Rs, 17 HRs, 45 RBIs, 1 SB) has been doing well offensively for the Yankees, going 2 for 4 yesterday.

Baltimore is a small underdog (+100) and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Orioles have a losing record of 11-18 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -103. They have an 18-17 record SU and are 6-9 as the underdog within their division. The Orioles seem to play better against their division opponents, averaging 4.5 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.1. Baltimore’s pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 3.0 during that span, compared to its 4.0 season average.

Switching to the opposing bench, the Yankees come into this game with a solid win percentage of .600 when playing as the favorite (18-12) and an overall money line of +436. They have played at the top of their game when rated as favorite recently. They managed a 4-1 record when playing as the favorite and an SU record of 8-2. New York is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 186 extra base hits. New York has an eye for the strike zone, ranking 3.1 in the AL with fifth walks per game. New York’s pitching staff has allowed an average of 2.9 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 4.1. They also allow just 2.7 walks per game, good for third in the AL. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in the AL with an average of 8.6 strikeouts per game.

This game will feature Sabathia (LHP) on the mound against the Orioles, who have a 7-6 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Yankees will be the right-hander Norris. They sport a 24-19 record against righties.

Predictions: SU Winner – NYY, O/U – Over

Notes

New York recorded at least two errors for the 10th time this season.

When the Orioles play into extra innings, they have a 1-1 record. The Yankees are 1-4 when their games exceed nine innings.

The Yankees are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Orioles have a 17-21 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.

When they are outhit, the Orioles are 4-20. The Yankees have a 6-20 record when opponents outhit them.

Baltimore ranks in the top 10 of the league at seventh when it comes to home runs, hitting 67 this season. New York ranks in the top five at third with 77.

Baltimore and New York both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Baltimore sits at eighth with 8.37 hits per game and New York ranks sixth with 8.59.

Ranking 11th, Baltimore is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.720). New York ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .735.

When the Yankees allow at least one home run, they are 17-21, well-matched with the Orioles who are 16-21 when allowing at least one homer.

Written by GMS Previews

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