The Baltimore Orioles will make a road trip to New York to take on their division foe Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The opening pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup.
Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Odds
Baltimore (+235) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-265) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). The game’s current runline odds stand at +105 for picking the Orioles +1.5 runs and -125 for the Yankees -1.5.
The Orioles have gone 31-74 SU this year and are 45-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 37.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 23.8 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 66-37 SU and 53-51 ATS. The team’s gained 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 3.1 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Yankees games have a 45-54-5 over/under record in 2018. Baltimore has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 44-58-4.
Alex Cobb will get the start for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Cobb (2-14, 6.08 ERA) has recorded 69 punchouts in 103.2 innings so far. He has yet to face New York this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 3.46 ERA and 11 strikeouts.
The Yankees are putting the ball in the right hand of Sonny Gray (8-7, 5.08 ERA), who has 96 punchouts and 44 walks as well as a 1.47 WHIP. Gray is 3-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 2.00 ERA across three starts against Baltimore this year.
New York’s pitching staff has allowed 3.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 4.05 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.86, a WHIP of 1.10 and a K/9 of 11.5. In 44 games against AL East foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.08 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.92.
The New York hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .295/.364/.404 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge have led the Yankees’ offense this year. Stanton is hitting .279/.345/.511 with 24 home runs, 63 RBIs and 63 runs scored, and Judge’s line sits at .285/.398/.548 with 26 homers, 61 RBIs and 70 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.23 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.34 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.21, along with a K-per-9 of 8.09.
The Orioles offense has slashed .233/.297/.389 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Shortstop Manny Machado and right fielder Adam Jones have paced Baltimore’s hitters. Machado is slashing .315/.387/.575 with 24 home runs, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Jones (.281/.307/.431) has produced 11 homers, 43 RBIs and 41 runs scored.
The Orioles have lost 32.1 units and are 27-43 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 11.3 units and are 38-36 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 33 of those games, compared to 38 that went under.
Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in five of Baltimore’s last seven contests.
Baltimore fielders have committed three errors over their last five games, compared to zero errors for New York over its last five.
The Orioles have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
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