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Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Preview 09/04/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles are set to take on the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to televise this AL matchup.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Seattle (-180) is hosting this one as the favorite over Baltimore (+170) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Runline odds stand at -130 for betting the Orioles +1.5 runs and +110 for the Mariners -1.5.

The Mariners are 77-61 straight up (SU) and 67-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 10.9 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Orioles are 40-98 SU and have gone 57-81 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 49.6 units for moneyline bettors and 35.9 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Seattle games have had an over/under record of 68-68-2 in 2018. The Orioles have been a good under bet with a total record of 60-73-5.

The right-handed Alex Cobb is projected to start for the visiting Orioles. Cobb (4-15, 5.11 ERA) has recorded 98 strikeouts in 144.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with a 9.64 ERA against Seattle this year.

The Mariners are turning to lefty Wade LeBlanc (8-3, 3.71 ERA), who has 108 strikeouts and 32 walks to his credit as well as a 1.15 WHIP. LeBlanc is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.

As a unit, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.40, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.96 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The Seattle offense has put up 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .249/.301/.393 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Mitch Haniger have led the charge for the Mariners’ hitters this year. Segura is slashing .318/.349/.437 with nine home runs, 60 RBIs, 82 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Haniger’s line sits at .280/.366/.489 with 23 homers, 84 RBIs and 73 runs.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.41 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.15 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.79, along with a K-per-9 of 8.16.

The Orioles offense has slashed .238/.300/.395 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini have led Baltimore’s offense. Jones is hitting .285/.317/.429 with 14 home runs, 55 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Mancini (.241/.301/.415) has produced 21 homers, 50 RBIs and 60 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 7.8 units and are 21-24 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 19 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 16.3 units and are 45-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 50 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Baltimore has tallied 11 extra-base hits over its last five games. Seattle has 14 XBH over its last five.

Seattle has posted 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.

The Orioles have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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