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Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Free Pick 08/09/18

Red Sox vs Rays
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles are heading south to Tropicana Field to take on their AL East rival Tampa Bay Rays. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

The Orioles have gone 34-78 SU this year and are 48-65 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 38.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 26.4 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Rays, on the other hand, are 56-56 SU and 61-52 ATS. The team has gained 5.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.4 units ATS. Tampa Bay has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Tampa Bay games have an over/under record of 49-61-3 in 2018. Baltimore has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 49-60-4.

Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.79, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.1. The bullpen has a 3.99 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 44 games against divisional opponents, Rays starters have an ERA of 5.11 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.16.

The Tampa Bay offense is putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .224/.356/.346 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Matt Duffy and first baseman C.J. Cron have led the Rays’ batters this year. Duffy is hitting .301/.353/.383 with four home runs, 31 RBIs and 39 runs scored, while Cron’s line is .250/.320/.476 with 22 homers, 56 RBIs and 52 runs.

For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.43 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.40 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.32, along with a WHIP of 1.50 and a K-per-9 of 8.23.

Orioles hitters have slashed .237/.300/.396 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado, who have combined to blast 35 home runs. Jones is slashing .282/.311/.424 with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Machado is hitting .315/.387/.575 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Rays have lost 4.2 units and are 39-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve hit the under against righties.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in four of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.

Tampa Bay has posted 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.2 over its last five.

The Orioles have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit eight over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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