Miguel Gonzalez (6-4, 3.58 ERA) and Colby Lewis (7-3, 4.10 ERA) take the hill in the second of a four-game series between the Baltimore Orioles (41-35) and the Texas Rangers (39-38) at Camden Yards. The Rangers won the last game 8-1 and Texas leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Jun. 30 and can be seen on FSN-SW and MASN2.
Gonzalez pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs and striking out four in an 8-6 win over the Red Sox. Manny Machado (.307, 50 Rs, 15 HRs, 43 RBIs, 11 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4. Lewis is 1-4 with a 6.35 ERA against the Orioles in his career. He takes on a good Baltimore offense that’s batting .262. Mitch Moreland (.300, 24 Rs, 12 HRs, 39 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and three RBIs.
Baltimore is a -141 favorite against Texas and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Orioles have recorded an overall money line of +697 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 25-14. Baltimore is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games.
In games where it is the underdog, Texas has a 33-33 record and an overall money line of +1,322. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-7 record, and a 2-8 record SU. Offensively, the Rangers have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.3 runs per game by averaging 2.5 during that stretch.
The Rangers have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Orioles have a 31-28 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Lewis takes the mound. Gonzalez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rangers, who have a 24-23 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner – BAL, O/U – Over
Notes
Having scored one run in their last game, the Orioles are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Rangers have an 18-1 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Orioles are 5-23. The Rangers have an 8-30 record when opponents outhit them.
Texas ranks in the top 10 of the league at eighth when it comes to home runs, hitting 81 this season. Baltimore ranks in the top five at fifth with 92.
Baltimore and Texas both rank in the top 10 of the league in hits. Baltimore sits at sixth with 8.75 hits per game and Texas ranks eighth with 8.46.
Ranking 13th, Texas is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.717). Baltimore ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .745.
The Rangers are 19-30 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Orioles are 22-24 when they allow at least one homer.
