The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on their division rival Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to televise the action and the game will get going at 12:37 p.m. ET.
Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Baltimore (+165) is coming into this one as the underdog to Toronto (-175) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9.5 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Orioles +1.5 runs (-135) and Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+115).
The Orioles have gone 37-89 SU this year and are 53-72 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 42.7 units for moneyline bettors and 28.9 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 57-69 SU and 52-73 ATS. They’ve lost 10.9 units for moneyline bettors and 31.0 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Toronto games have an over/under record of 64-53-8 in 2018. Baltimore has been a good under bet with a total record of 53-67-5.
Right-hander David Hess will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. Hess is 2-7 with a 5.95 ERA and 40 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Toronto this year.
The Blue Jays will turn to Thomas Pannone (0-0, 4.15 ERA) to the mound. Pannone has six strikeouts and one walks to his name, as well as a 0.92 WHIP. Pannone has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not pitch in the majors last season.
As a unit, Toronto’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 5.04, a WHIP of 1.43 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 53 divisional games, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 4.84 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.69.
The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .291/.354/.515 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Blue Jays’ offense has been led by first baseman Justin Smoak and outfielder Kevin Pillar. Smoak is hitting .255/.364/.468 with 19 home runs, 61 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Pillar’s line is .257/.286/.426 with 10 homers, 49 RBIs, 52 runs and 13 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.44 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 7.12 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.63, along with a K/9 of 8.14.
The Orioles offense has slashed .237/.301/.397 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Baltimore’s offensive production has been sparked by outfielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado, who have combined to swat 37 home runs. Jones is slashing .283/.316/.433 with 13 home runs, 49 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Machado is hitting .315/.387/.575 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
The Blue Jays have gained 4.2 units and are 34-47 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in five of Toronto’s last seven games.
The Orioles have dropped five of their last six games SU.
Baltimore has recorded 17.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.2 over its last five.
The Orioles have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 12 over their last 10.
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